I am not SWC and I never will be. But I respect the hell out of what he did for us and will give it a shot in his memory.
Why We Will Win
In two words? Jeff Nixon. He's had as long as he'd need to study the Tennessee defense and he has the tools and genius in his arsenal to take them down. Angeli is the real deal and isn't going to cave to the intense and sudden pressure. Our receiver corp is deep as the Mariana Trench, and if you put oversized shoulder pads on the O-Line you could mistake them for the '95 Gator Bowl champs.
I expect the offense to look a little bit like last year--spread, aggressive, and pass-heavy. Johntay has always had the talent, but now he's got a HCFB as a mentor too, and we're going to hear a lot of "Angeli to Cook for the first down'. Not to mention Gill who was solid last year and is going to come back stronger and more elusive.
But I don't think the offense will be exactly the same. With the new line and lack of LeQuint and Oronde as check-down options, it will be exciting to see all 235lbs of Yasin Willis smash open his own gaps. I was also curious to see Fran Jr. listed at Fullback; while I don't expect to see him take many snaps there, it could be an indicator of how the offense is adapting to the talent at hand.
The defense may be questionable, but I see some bright spots too. All eyes are on Demetres Samuel Jr.--Tenesee is going to count on winning some 1v1 routes and he's a day ahead and a dollar over when it comes to the speed to shut them down.
Why We Will Lose
Tennesee is good. Nico was fantastic, but for them it's a don't let the door hit you on the way out situation much less a next man up.
Now, I'm not calling for meathead football, exactly, but I expect them to methodically march down the field and wear out our defense. Those same 1v1s that we can win are going to be a lot harder to keep winning as we tire out.
It will be tense. I'm not going to lie, at times it might even start to feel hopeless, and their time with the ball that stands a good chance of limiting our possessions.
And remember, our offense is new. Steve won the competition but he was not here for spring ball. Mistakes and miscues seem inevitable, and with limited possessions those mistakes will be costly, and they will risk compounding later in the game when the type of 4th and 3 decision can be increasingly tempting. And those difficult and important plays will be in front of a crowd that is increasingly looking like an away game.
Overall?
It's a game we can win. I am hopeful. But we will need some luck.