TheCusian
Living Legend
- Joined
- Sep 24, 2012
- Messages
- 22,797
- Like
- 33,719
Saw this in the Bannersociety.com's free newsletter today. There's not a link so i took a snapshot of some of the tables.
---
We know the highest tier of college football is reserved for the highest tier of recruiters. If you don’t sign blue-chips at least as frequently as you sign three-stars and below, you will need to be a historic outlier in order to have a title shot.
But every year brings a handful of teams that play beyond their recruiting — whether in good or bad ways.
Let’s consider how every team in FBS has recruited the last four years (not counting the just-signing-now class of 2020) and compare their performance on the trail to the field. Let this provide some hope to fans whose teams don't rank all that well in the 2020 cycle.
These are how teams' performances (measured by SP+) most diverged from their four-year recruiting rankings (calculated by us using the 247Sports Composite, which retroactively changes slightly over time).
View attachment 174431
View attachment 174432
View attachment 174433
This is very good and telling. If we used last years SP+, we'd be overachievers. Which is about right, honestly - 3 of the 4 years right on our ranking, 1 year with a senior QB and we float to the top.
We need to climb the rankings and find a way to overachieve more often.