The best way to measure the talent level of a college team is to look at how many of their players were later drafted or signed as free agents by the pros. They may or may not have ‘made it’ in the pros but they must have made it pretty good in college for the pros to be interested in them. Using the SU media guide, I came up with these numbers for the Coach P Era:
1991: 31 players in 1992-95
1992: 35 players in 1993-96
1993: 32 players in 1994-97
1994: 30 players in 1995-98
1995: 33 players in 1996-99
1996: 35 players in 1997-00
1997: 33 players in 1998-01
1998: 36 players in 1999-02
1999: 31 players in 2000-03
2000: 32 players in 2001-04
2001: 31 players in 2002-05
2002: 29 players in 2003-06
2003: 31 players in 2004-07
2004: 27 players in 2005-07
There had been an obvious decline in talent from the 1998 peak but there were still 27 players the pros showed interested in., so we were hardly bereft of talent.
For years I have evaluated individual games and teams by what I call their “point differential ranking. You see how a team did against a particular opponent in terms of the point differential in that game and compare it to that team’s other opponents. If you beat a team by more than anybody else did or tie a team that won all their other games or lose to a team that won all their games by the smallest margin, you get a ranking of “1”. If another team ties your team, each gets a “1”. If one team did better, you get a ‘2’. If two teams did better, you get a ‘3’. If ten teams did better, you get an ‘11’. In coach P’s time, teams played 11 game regular seasons and the best teams played in bowl games so the worst it could get was a “12”.
Here are the point differential rankings form 1-12 and the number of times Coach p’s teams had that ranking:
1- 24 times
2- 21 times
3- 23 times
4- 22 times
5- 23 times
6- 11 times
7- 7 times
8- 9 times
9- 6 times
10- 3 times
11- 8 times
12- 11 times
We were in the top 5 of our opponent’s opponents 68% of the time. That’s clearly where we belonged. An occasional slip form that level is to be expected. But the number of times we were in the 11-12 area is clearly disappointing. That means at least ten teams played the same opponent and did better than we did. The fact that the number of bad performances increases from 3 at the 10 level to 8 at the 11 level to 11 at the 12 level indicates a tendency of the team’s effort to collapse when things went bad.
Here is the list of the 19 worst performances of the Pasqualoni Era:
10/5/91 at Florida State 14-46 11 teams did better
10/23/93 at Miami 0-49 11 teams did better
10/30/93 West Virginia 0-43 11 teams did better
11/12/94 Boston College 0-31 11 teams did better
10/1/98 at N C State 17-38 11 teams did better
10/16/98 at Virginia Tech 0-62 11 teams did better
11/23/99 at Rutgers 21-24 10 teams did better
9/1/01 at Tennessee 9-33 10 teams did better
11/17/01 at Miami 0-59 10 teams did better
8/29/02 at BYU 21-42 10 teams did better
9/7/02 North Carolina 22-30 11 teams did better
10/5/02 Pittsburgh 24-48 11 teams did better
10/19/02 at West Virginia 7-34 10 teams did better
11/30/02 Miami 7-49 11 teams did better
10/11/03 at Virginia tech 7-51 11 teams did better
10/25/03 at Pittsburgh 14-34 10 teams did better
11/29/03 at Rutgers 7-24 10 teams did better
9/5/04 at Purdue 0-51 10 teams did better
11/27/04 Georgia Tech 14-51 10 teams did better (bowl game)
There’s no spinning these games. They are not about talent level, weight rooms or practice facilities, not with all those teams that did better than we did. We just stunk up the joint .
Now to be balanced, let’s remember the greatest games of the Pasqualoni era, when we did better than any other opponent against the teams we played:
9/21/01 Florida 38-21
11/2/01 Temple 27-6
10/10/02 Rutgers 50-28
1/1/96 Clemson 41-0 (bowl game)
9/28/96 Virginia Tech 52-21
11/2/96 at West Virginia 30-7
11/9/96 at Tulane 31-7
11/16/96 Army 42-17
8/24/97 Wisconsin 34-0
10/4/97 East Carolina 56-0
10/18/97 Temple 60-7
11/1/97 West Virginia 40-10
9/5/98 Tennessee 33-34 (a loss but nobody came closer to beating them)
9/19/98 Rutgers 70-14
10/10/98 Cincinnati 63-21
11/28/98 Miami 66-13
9/2/99 at Toledo 35-12
9/30/00 Brigham Young 42-14
9/29/01 East Carolina 44-30
10/20/01 Temple 45-3
12/29/01 Kansas State 26-3 (bowl game)
9/27/03 Toledo 34-7
10/18/03 Boston College 39-14
11/27/03 Boston College 43-17
This list contains a lot of Rutgers, Temples, Tulanes and Toledos but we still beat them worse than anybody else did. And it contains Florida, Clemson, Tennessee, Miami and Kansas State. It’s dominated by home games just as the first list is dominated by road games. I will say that good teams typically are nearly as formidable on the road as at home and bad teams are bad everywhere. Home field advantage means more to mediocre teams. The main thing is that these high points don’t make the low points OK: they make them more inexplicable and less tolerable. In both 1998 and 2003, we had a #1 game followed by a #12 game followed by another #1 game. Such roller-coaster results leave the fans dizzy- and disappointed.
Coach P is our second all-time winningest coach with 101 wins, 59 losses and a tie (.630). That’s a better record than anyone we’ve had since. He deserves our respect. But it’s not inappropriate to suggest that he could have done better or to access at least part of the blame for the decline of the program to him.