FireballPhil
2nd String
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- Aug 27, 2011
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That isn't the point. Everyone knows the quadrants change over the course of the season. The point is the quadrants are set up incorrectly in November because the data is incomplete, and the missing data is replaced with bias. Sometimes this will work its way out throughout the season. Sometimes they won't. It is why you see so many head scratching teams when you look at net rankings, especially when compared to other metrics. Each year there seem to be more "outliers" and "head-scratching" teams. NIL has a part to do with this. With enough money Fordham can become *choke,gag* UConn. Yet the net will not truly show the value of Fordham. The only way they show their value is winning their conference and then making a deep run in the NCAA, or knocking off a #1 seed. But that never, especially the last few years, happens does it?The point is that wins can change quadrants over the course of the year. We have a few games on the precipice of moving up a quadrant. So early on, the NET is reliant on the early season data because that's all it has. By the end of the year, everything is weighted evenly.
This is the reason you'll see bigger swings after results earlier in the year. Each game makes up a bigger chunk of the data.