HtownOrange
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Ok, thank you -- I'm familiar with the concepts but my figures were just estimates, so I appreciate you filling in a few blanks.
Even with your figures, however, if UConn makes 8M for 3d tier (I underestimated this), they will still have a choice to make if a new BE deal is offered at ... 15 million or greater, even with a GOR.
We don't know what the offer will be, but it's likely to be less than the ACC's deal of 17M per school for 1st and 2nd tier rights, with no GOR. That leaves 3d tier rights available, and for a school like SU, this could be lucrative. In the BE, I think our 3d tier income came mostly from TW .. in the ACC, the 3d tier provider will probably be different .. (Raycom?).
At any rate, a GOR offer in the BE won't necessarily send schools fleeing to other leagues -- unless (as before) ND becomes the proverbial wrench in the works. If you remember a couple of years ago it was ND that turned down ESPN's offer (reportedly 1.2B) causing SU and Pitt to baulk. It seemed like ND used a "veto" to say no -- suggesting a voting system under which any member school can scuttle a deal. If this is still true, it makes league consensus a bit harder to achieve, as Jake is suggesting.
Agreed, a GOR will not send schools running.