Bill Connelly on SU

[TheCusian]

The piece was about analyzing data to try to determine future performance. The guy hedged constantly, unlike many here he didn't claim to be omniscient and know with certainty what the future holds.

Yep. Thought it was very fair. (Just thought the "facts are not opinions" comment was a little harsh given it was 50/50 facts and opinion)...

I don't think he could have written a piece to make us happy. Things are bleak from the outside.

I think that if some of the question marks go our way on offense, the defense will be ready to go for the much tougher second half of the season.

It's not hard to see 5-1 after the first 6. He even alluded to that possibility. (Then said we might lose the rest).

 

[OrangeAl]

It's not hard to accept that we have a lot of inexperienced talent on defense and we have an offense that has a lot to prove after last year. The unbiased writer has every reason to question our future. This team will have to respond to those doubters, and I think they will. But then, I'm a believer.

 

[rosconey]

5-1 lol-lol-lol-lol

dam thats funny

 

[TheCusian]

5-1 lol-lol-lol-lol dam thats funny

Huh? We could lose or win a bunch of games - but 5-1 shouldn't be written off...

Rhode Island - awful, won one game
Wake Forest at home - beat them two years in a row
Central Michigan - beat them last year
LSU - maybe a 5% chance, likely loss
South Florida - in worse shape than us in a worse conference
Virginia - this is football, not basketball - winnable game, they haven't been very good. They would be maybe a 4 point fav

 

[BlackKnight76]

5-1 lol-lol-lol-lol dam thats funny

If we have an above average team this year we should start 5-1

 

[anomander]

Just got done reading Connelly's analysis. What possibly could anyone find wrong with that? That was a very fair assessment based on statistics. If you have a problem with that your just not being objective.

 

[bothsocksup]

outstanding article. Unbiased and excellent empirical evidence. The only way to change our perception is to win, thats it, plain and simple. Until that point, we will be considered at the bottom tier of d1 football...and rightfully so

 

[TheCusian]

Just got done reading Connelly's analysis. What possibly could anyone find wrong with that? That was a very fair assessment based on statistics. If you have a problem with that your just not being objective.

Agreed. As stated - my objection is to his conclusion. I think our defense won't dip as much and our offense will be better (almost by default). But no way could he go out on that limb based on those stats.

 

[anomander]

Agreed. As stated - my objection is to his conclusion. I think our defense won't dip as much and our offense will be better (almost by default). But no way could he go out on that limb based on those stats.

I am also on record on saying our defense won't miss a beat. I can see how he came to that conclusion, I just think the guys we had waiting in the wings are more talented.

 

[OttoinGrotto]

he's good enough to speak at MIT's sloan sport conference but he might not be good at math

Oh you mean that group of nerds?

 

[qdawgg]

Oh you mean that group of nerds?

They never played in the NFL so they can't analyze football. Only guys who've had concussions can provide accurate analysis of football teams/players.

 

[NineOneSeven]

God this thread is gold.

Thank you. All of you.

 

[OttoinGrotto]

They never played in the NFL so they can't analyze football. Only guys who've had concussions can provide accurate analysis of football teams/players.

I'm going to start a sports analytics blog called The Concussed Statistician and RULE THE WORLD.

 

[bcubs9497]

They never played in the NFL so they can't analyze football. Only guys who've had concussions can provide accurate analysis of football teams/players.

Sure they can. They can analyze, then pontificate, all they want. But I'll still place greater faith in the opinions of those who have actually played the game.

 

[Hoya Suxa]

Sure they can. They can analyze, then pontificate, all they want. But I'll still place greater faith in the opinions of those who have actually played the game.

Neil deGrasse Tyson has never been to space. I guess his stock as an astrophysicist is bogus.

 

[bcubs9497]

Neil deGrasse Tyson has never been to space. I guess his stock as an astrophysicist is bogus.

Yes.

@#$!@!

 

[rosconey]

Neil deGrasse Tyson has never been to space. I guess his stock as an astrophysicist is bogus.

who cares- he likes soccer

 

[reedny]

Throwing away really good, statistically sounds, high-level analysis because the roster isn't 100% accurate (which is far from the point of the article) is really silly, but I know we need to complain about everything, so carry on.

I agree with your post, even though it is not 100% accurate (you misspelled "sound").

 

[BlackKnight76]

I agree with your post, even though it is not 100% accurate (you misspelled "sound").

Dammit, now I don't even know if I know what I'm talking about