Good question. I think (hope!) we have a narrow but achievable path to six wins.
First, we have to win at least 3 of the OOC games. Ideally we take all 4, but I'm worried about stubbing our toe in the opener, losing to Rutgers, and/or embarrassing ourselves again vs. Liberty. I wouldn't be at all surprised if we were 2-2 in OOC play, but we gotta get 3.
After that, I'd say beating Wake, BC and Pitt, all at home, is the path to 6. It won't be easy, but those should all be peer programs that we are capable of taking down, especially in the Dome.
Anything beyond that is probably gravy.