Agree on Greece, not so sure about Poland. Have seen Russia's last 2 games (Italy friendly and Czech) and they have looked pretty formidable. And don't forget, Poland is playing without their first choice keeper who was red carded on Friday (though Tyton coming in cold and stopping the pk was pretty remarkable). Poland at home and playing for their life but I think best case for them to advance is draw against Russia and go all out against Czech Republic and hope for goal differential over Greece.