FSU opens -2.5 over Cuse...

[anomander]

But to be clear the “smart money” is only right 50% of the time. So in reality it’s not that scary. No one knows what the heck is gonna happen tomorrow. Most “sharps” drive Nissan altimas with one headlight out. Hahaha

Technically, if you're actually a sharp, it would be closer to 55% of the time, but that's on -3.

The ones who have enough juice to actually move the number are the 1% that actually make a living betting.

I think there are statistics out there. Instances of reverse line movement like this are closer to being right 55-60% of the time.

 

[007]

Technically, if you're actually a sharp, it would be closer to 55% of the time, but that's on -3.

The ones who have enough juice to actually move the number are the 1% that actually make a living betting.

I think there are statistics out there. Instances of reverse line movement like this are closer to being right 55-60% of the time.

In this case, it’s not the sharps fault. They didn’t know.

 

[690West]

Technically, if you're actually a sharp, it would be closer to 55% of the time, but that's on -3.

The ones who have enough juice to actually move the number are the 1% that actually make a living betting.

I think there are statistics out there. Instances of reverse line movement like this are closer to being right 55-60% of the time.

Lot more lore than substance with “sharp” statistics. I believe The best in the world are right 53% of the time. Either way, we can both agree that “smart money” is only a tad over a coin flip. That’s all I’m saying.

 

[690West]

How were the sharps wrong!!?? Oh that’s right cuz even for them it’s an effîng flip of a coin.

“FSU gets a 27-24 win over Syracuse but fails to cover. Sharp money gets burned on the 'Noles again, falling to 0-6-2 ATS.”

 

[anomander]

How were the sharps wrong!!?? Oh that’s right cuz even for them it’s an effîng flip of a coin.

“FSU gets a 27-24 win over Syracuse but fails to cover. Sharp money gets burned on the 'Noles again, falling to 0-6-2 ATS.”

What do you mean? The sharps are the ones who got it at -2.5. The ones who moved the line over 3 are the only ones who won.