I don't gamble.
Here's the thing -- you're throwing Mike Hopkins out there as a clear choice, as if the ineptitude that's gotten exposed during his tenure at UW doesn't matter. Just to put the order of magnitude of the debacle in perspective:
- In 2020, he went 5-13 in conference and finished in 12th place out of 12 teams... with two first round draft picks on the team!
- He followed that up with a 5-21 overall record, that included going 4-16 in conference, finishing 11th out of 12 teams
- This year, they are 5-5, have already suffered some embarrassing losses, and are trending for another cellar dweller conference finish
Remove the name "Hopkins," and our fanbase would revolt if somebody with that track record was hired. And justifiably so, because he's demonstrated that he doesn't have the chops to succeed at a P5 program at this stage of his coaching career. I don't believe that he'll emerge as a valid candidate not just here, but for ANY P5 head coaching position until he does a rehabilitation stint somewhere, most likely the NBA.
I love Mike Hopkins as a person, and I have tremendous respect for his contributions to the program as both a player and a coach. But
this isn't a lifetime achievement award -- it's a high profile position in a performance oriented profession.
And sadly, Mike's substantially more qualified than either of your other two "simple" choices, Red or GMac -- who are partially responsible for the downturn the program is experiencing.
The sun will continue to rise when Jim Boeheim retires. When he does, the University will celebrate him in perpetuity, ESPN will show images of him every game we're televised and talk reverentially about his accomplishments, and the fanbase will reminisce about the national championship, the good 'ol days of the 80s / 90s when we were recruiting like gangbusters and a perennial top 10 team, and the "golden era" of SU hoops in the early 2010's when we had two #1 seeds in a 3 year span.
The AD doesn't need to make a "continuity hire" to honor Jim's legacy. The program is in decline -- there's very little incentive for continuity. Which is why our AD won't confine himself to a group of unqualified candidates, or artificially pretend that past ties to the program is a more important evaluative criteria than a successful coaching track record.