Net Points | Syracusefan.com

Net Points

SWC75

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(I'm going to do the "et cetera" part in a separate post this time because of the length of this section.)

I’ll continue doing a statistical analysis of games this year with some of the off-beat numbers I like to look at. I’ll post them after each game, probably the next day.


The first thing I’ll look at is “NET POINTS”. The idea is that each statistic in the box score is arguably worth a point, (that is, somewhere between 0.5 and 1.5 points). A point is a point. Teams score an average of a point per possession so anything that gets you possession is a point. A missed shot will more often than not wind up in the possession of the other team. Most baskets are for two points so if the passer who set up the shot is given half credit, that’s worth a point. One half of the blocked shots will likely have gone in and they are almost always two pointers, so that’s a point. If you add up the “positives”, (points, + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) and subtract the “negatives”, (missed field goals, missed free throws, turnovers and fouls), you have a number that summarizes a player’s statistical contributions to a game. Then, by averaging the net points per 40 minutes of play, you factor out differences in playing time and have a look at the player’s rate of production. Both are important. The game is won based on what you actually did, not the rate at which you did it. But the rate is a better measure of the skills you can bring to the game.


(OE is “Offensive Efficiency”: points minus missed field goals and free throws. “FG is “Floor Game”: NP minus OE.)


Of course, there are things player do both on and off the court that contribute to victory. Leadership, hard work, keeping the team loose, scrambling for loose balls, (that could be a statistic: when neither team is in control of the ball, who winds up with it?), sneaker-sneaker defense, keeping the ball moving on offense, etc. etc. My experience is that with rare exceptions, the players who are the most statistically productive are the ones who grade highest in the things not measured by statistics, as well.


Here are the NET POINTS of our scholarship player in the most recent game and their averages per 40 minutes of play for the season, (exhibitions games not included):


C. J. Fair………………. 12NP in 39 minutes season: 410NP in 1244 minutes per 40: 12.8

Rakeem Christmas 11NP in 37 minutes season: 276NP in 803 minutes per 40: 13.7

Tyler Ennis………….. 8NP in 40 minutes season: 445NP in 1215 minutes per 40: 12.8

Jerami Grant……….. 3NP in 34 minutes season: 386NP in 1005 minutes per 40: 15.4

Baye Moussa Keita 0NP in 3 minutes season: 99NP in 497 minutes per 40: 8.0

Michael Gbinije …. 6NP in 22 minutes season: 102NP in 497 minutes per 40: 8.2

Trevor Cooney…… -2NP in 25 minutes season: 317NP in 1093 minutes per 40: 11.6


DNP- none

Ron Patterson…….. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 16NP in 54 minutes per 40: 11.9

Tyler Roberson……. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 30NP in 162 minutes per 40: 7.4

B. J. Johnson……….. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 1NP in 55 minutes per 40: 0.7


INJURED

DaJuan Coleman…. 0NP in 0 minutes season: 61NP in 169 minutes per 40: 14.4


Comment: Tyler Ennis has led, (or tied for the lead), in net points 14 times. CJ Fair has led 8 times, Trevor Cooney, and Rakeem Christmas 5 times, Jerami Grant 4 times and DaJuan Coleman and Baye Keita once each. CJ had been tied with Trevor Cooney and Rakeem Christmas before last night.



This team just didn’t have that “stud” player that could carry the team through the bad stretches. He’s almost always going to be a forward because a forward can do everything you need on the court: score inside or out, rebound, handle and pass the ball, block shots, make steals, etc. CJ Fair was a good player and Jerami Grant has some upside but they don’t compare to these guys:

Leo Rautins 31.8m 17.8p 9.2r 7.8a 1.9s 0.5b 37.2+ 6.8mfg 1.0mft 4.5to 3.6pf 15.9- = 21.3NP 10.0OE 11.3FG (1982-83)

Rafael Addison 31.6m 18.9p 7.1r 5.2a 1.6s 0.6b 33.4+ 7.1,fg 0.7mft 2.8to 2.7pf 13.3- = 20.1NP 11.1OE 9.0FG (1985-86)

Wendell Alexis 31.8m 19.1p 9.3r 2.0a 1.7s 1.3b 33.4+ 6.4mfg 0.9mft 2.2to 3.6pf 13.1- = 20.3NP 11.8OE 8.5FG (1985-86)

Derrick Coleman 33.1m 20.4p 13.8r 3.5a 1.5s 4.1b 43.3+ 5.5mfg 2.5mft 2.9to 3.9pf 14.8- = 28.5NP 12.4OE 16.1FG (1988-89)

Billy Owens 38.0m 24.5p 12.2r 3.6a 2.6s 1.2b +44.1 9.0mfg 2.5mft 3.7to 2.8pf -18.0 = 26.1NP 13.0OE 13.1FG (1990-91)

John Wallace 33.0m 20.4p 9.9r 3.1a 1.6s 2.2b +37.2 5.6mfg 2.0mft 3.7to 3.2pf -14.5 = 22.7NP 12.8OE 9.9FG (1994-95)

Damone Brown 35.9m 18.3p 9.8r 2.1a 1.9s 1.6b +33.7 7.3mfg 1.1mft 2.3to 3.0pf -13.7 = 20.0NP 9.9OE 10.1FG (2000-01)

Carmelo Anthony 36.4m 24.4p 11.0r 2.4a 1.7s 0.9b +40.4 10.5mfg 2.2mft 2.4to 2.4pf -17.5 = 22.9NP 11.7OE 11.2FG (2002-03)

Hakim Warrick 37.5m 22.8p 9.2r 1.6a 1.0s 0.8b 35.4+ 6.6mfg 3.1mft 2.7to 2.5pf 14.9- = 20.5NP 13.1OE 7.4FG (2004-05)

Wes Johnson 35.0m 18.9p 9.8r 2.5a 1.9s 2.1b 35.2+ 6.7mfg 1.1mft 2.6to 2.4pf 12.8- = 22.4NP 11.1OE 11.6FG (2009-10)

Rick Jackson

35.6m 14.7p 11.6r 2.5a 1.5s 2.8b 33.1+ 4.3mfg 2.1mft 2.3to 2.3pf 11.0- = 22.1NP 8.3OE 13.8FG (2010-11)


Who will be the next name on this list? Tyler Roberson? Chris McCullough? Stay tuned.


Meanwhile, let’s look at the development of the players on this year’s team vs. their previous career here, (when they had them):


CJ Fair

18.6m 13.7p 8.2r 0.9a 1.7s 1.7b +26.2 4.6mfg 1.7mft 1.8to 2.6pf -10.7 = 15.5NP 7.4OE 8.1FG

26.4m 12.9p 8.1r 1.4a 1.6s 0.7b +24.7 5.4mfg 1.1mft 1.2to 2.2pf -9.9 = 14.8NP 6.4OE 8.4FG

34.8m 16.7p 8.0r 0.8a 1.3s 1.2b +28.0 7.0mfg 1.1mft 1.8to 1.8pf -11.7 = 16.3NP 8.6OE 7.07FG

37.8m 17.5p 6.8r 1.3a 1.4s 0.8b +27.8 9.0mfg 1.2mft 2.6to 2.2pf -15.0 = 12.8NP 7.3OE 5.5FG

CJ, like Brandon Triche, didn’t have a good senior year. I think there is a tendency toward “senioritis where players feel the need and pressure to show the NBA they can do more than they’ve been showing and also for players who have filled rolls to be elevated to star status, which means they are asked to do, have the offense run through them and they also become the focal point of the defense. I think that’s what happened to CJ this year. It’s interesting, though that his offensive efficiency didn’t fall as much as his floor game. His rebounding decreased and his turnovers increased. I agree that his biggest problem is that he was starting out farther from the basket than in past years.


Trevor Cooney

11.2m 12.2p 2.9r 2.1a 2.6s 0.3b +20.1 9.1mfg 0.4mft 1.7to 3.0pf -14.2 = 5.9NP 3.1OE 2.8FG

32.1m 15.0p 2.6r 1.4a 2.3s 0.2b +21.5 7.2mfg 0.4mft 1.0to 1.3pf -9.9 = 11.6NP 7.4OE 4.2FG

Overall Trevor clearly had a much better year than last year. He scored more, missed fewer shots and fouled less, although his assists went down a bit. But I had the impression that the Trevor we saw beginning when the conference season began was basically last year’s Trevor. Let’s look:

Pre-conference season:

29.2m 19.6p 2.5r 2.4a 3.2s 0.2b +27.9 6.4mfg 0.3mft 1.5to 1.4pf -9.6 = 18.3NP 12.9OE 5.4FG

Conference and Post-season:

34.0m 12.6p 2.6r 0.8a 1.9s 0.1b +18.0 7.7mfg 0.4mft 0.7to 1.3pf -10.1 = 7.9NP 4.5OE 3.4FG

Not quite as bad as last year but much more like last year than those first 13 games, when he was performing at an All-American level. Let’s look at his numbers since the Notre Dame game, which happens to be the last 13 games of the season:

30.6m 10.1p 2.8r 0.7a 1.6s 0.0b +15.2 9.6mfg 0.4mft 0.6to 1.2pf -11.8 = 3.4NP 0.1OE 3.5FG

At the end of the season he’d not only reverted to last year’s form, but was even worse. We all knew he couldn’t throw it in the ocean any more but his assists went down sharply as well. It’s not as if he needed to make shots to make passes: the defenders were on him anyway. But all this running around to get him open made him strictly a “Catch and shoot” guy. You can’t pass on the plays we were running for him. Next year he needs to become a better all-around scorer and JB has got to let him become one.


Jerami Grant

14.3m 10.8p 8.3r 1.3a 1.2s 1.2b +22.8 4.5mfg 2.2mft 1.8to 3.8pf -12.3 = 10.5NP 4.1OE 6.4FG

31.4m 15.4p 8.6r 1.8a 1.0s 0.7b +27.5 5.4mfg 2.3mft 1.5to 3.0pf -12.2 =15.3NP 7.7OE 7.6FG

Jerami is a talent player but still a work in progress. He improved because he got the ball more but turned it over less and committed fewer fouls. But he was good player last year, too. He’ll be a better one next year. Maybe he can even become one of those “stud” forwards I listed above. He’s not there yet.


Rakeem Christmas

11.5m 9.6p 10.2r 0.7a 1.0s 2.8b = 24.3+ 3.0mfg 1.1mft 2.2to 5.9pf = 12.2- = 12.1NP 5.5OE 6.6FG

20.8m 9.8p 8.8r 0.4a 1.0s 3.5b +23.5 3.7mfg 1.1mft 1.7to 4.8pf -11.3 = 12.2NP 5.0OE 7.2FG

23.6m 9.8p 8.6r 1.1a 0.8s 3.3b +23.6 2.4mfg 0.8mft 1.3to 5.3pf -9.8 = 13.8NP 6.6OE 7.2FG

Statistically, Rak was the exact same player he was last year, except he missed fewer shots. He showed signs of what he could become as a player but they were just glimpses, not real progress. It might help him if his teammates would get him the ball more.


Baye Moussa Keita

14.6m 6.0p 10.3r 0.5a 1.6s 3.4b +21.8 1.9mfg 1.3mft 1.6to 5.9pf -10.7 = 11.1NP 2.8OE 8.3FG

11.6m 7.4p 8.1r 0.2a 0.6s 3.2b +19.5 1.2mfg 0.7mft 1.0to 6.1pf -9.0 = 10.5NP 5.5OE 5.0FG

16.8m 8.9p 8.9r 0.4a 1.3s 2.7b +22.2 2.0mfg 1.5mft 1.3to 5.7pf -10.5 = 11.7NP 5.4OE 6.3FG

15.5m 4.7p 9.9r 0.8a 1.0s 2.4b +18.8 1.9mfg 0.6mft 1.9to 6.3pf -10.7 = 8.1NP 2.2OE 5.9FG

Baye regressed as a senior. I think injuries had a lot to do with it. But he never really progressed in his career here. I remember glimpses of an offensive game when he was a sophomore and junior but they disappeared. And he never stopped his habit of jumping into fouls.


DaJuan Coleman

12.7m 15.0p 12.5r 0.5a 1.7s 1.2b +30.9 7.1mfg 4.6mft 3.0to 3.9pf -18.6 =12.3NP 3.3OE 9.0FG

13.0m 13.3p 12.8r 0.7a 0.9s 1.7b +29.4 3.6mfg 3.3mft 2.6to 5.4pf -14.9 = 14.5NP 6.4OE 8.1FG

DaJuan did improve in the area of missed shots and missed free throws but was otherwise the same player, except he also committed more fouls. Our three centers committed 5.3, 6.3 and 5.4 fouls per 40 minutes, which means they couldn’t play 40 minutes if we wanted them to. And DC’s season again ended prematurely with an injury. It’s been a very frustrating first two years.
 
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