Playing poker at the casino today, a guy had placed $100

[dasher]

giving 13. Yeah, that's right. He gets $1800 if they win and cover. I think they could
probably play 100 times and Purdue wouldn't cover 13 once. What say you?

 

[jsshap]

2/100

 

[690West]

giving 13. Yeah, that's right. He gets $1800 if they win and cover. I think they could
probably play 100 times and Purdue wouldn't cover 13 once. What say you?

His implied probability of winning -13 is 5%

 

[djcon57]

giving 13. Yeah, that's right. He gets $1800 if they win and cover. I think they could
probably play 100 times and Purdue wouldn't cover 13 once. What say you?

Yeah, 18/1 is implied basically 5 out of 100.

Let's play devil's advocate though.

Uconn has 3 losses, 2 of them were by more than 13...so IF they are going to lose, might as well take a shot

 

[UpstateSM]

I'm betting Yukon -9.5 and -14.5 at some point before 9:20. They will blow Purdue out, sadly.

 

[djcon57]

I'm betting Yukon -9.5 and -14.5 at some point before 9:20. They will blow Purdue out, sadly.

Easiest money in the world was UConn/Bama spread at half. Mentioned in in game thread and of course didn't bet it. If it's anything under 10, I'm going to hammer it unless there's foul trouble on UConn

 

[CardiacCuse]

Easiest money in the world was UConn/Bama spread at half. Mentioned in in game thread and of course didn't bet it. If it's anything under 10, I'm going to hammer it unless there's foul trouble on UConn

ratings and ad money matters. lopsided games hurt revenues.

don't underestimate the power of refs to keep things close

NO ONE wants a blowout (except those that bet on one)

 

[Cuse181]

so he didnt win...