Yeah, I’m in agreement with a lot here. I think it will be a close game in the low to mid 20’s.
They’ll definitely try to run the ball to set up the pass early on…but they’ve done a nice job of using the run to set up the pass. Graham Harrell runs “Air Raid” but it’s really not Air Raid.
Purdue night games are a totally different animal. It’s crazy how well they play at night at home — they have a murderer’s row of wins over good programs at night over the last few years.
I think it’ll be a competitive game for sure. Syracuse will have to pass the ball to win the game.
Thinking the story of the game will boil down to the Syracuse OL…if they can contain the pass rush, Syracuse wins. If Purdue can consistently pressure GS, I think Purdue wins. Like you said, it will be very hard to run on the Purdue defense.
To expand on this a bit - the Purdue defense did make a huge jump from Game 1 to Game 2.
With Brohm, there wasn't much in the way of in-game adjustments...with the new staff we saw major adjustments in the Pass D from week 1 to 2 and then also in-game adjustments to stop what VT was doing. It seems like Walters defense takes a few games to get acclimated and then it is very good.
His first 4 games at Illinois: 392 yards (Neb), 497 yards (UTSA), 556 yards (UVA), 481 yards (UMD) - which was objectively terrible.
His next 8 games of the year once he was given full reigns of play calling: 319 yards (PUR), 263 yards (CHAR), 100 yards (WISC), 227 yards (PENN), 388 yards (RUTG), 289 yards (MINN), 255 yards (IOWA), 249 yards (NW)
Besides the Rutgers game, where they were held to 129 yards passing, his defense was lights out to end his first year after he was able to fully install and take over the defense. Rumor has it that Illinois coach didn't turn over the playcalling of the defense to him until Game 5 of the year.
You can see the same trend his first year at Missouri as well - started poor and then was very good by the end of the season. I am expecting the same 'click' to happen to the Purdue defense this year at some point. Whether that is against Syracuse, Wisconsin, or Illinois this month is yet to be seen.