Interesting thread from David Hale on impact of House Settlement on recruiting and portal. A really interesting nugget was the general consensus that portal talent is down vs 2 years ago, but the money being paid is way higher. The implication being you could have a lot of "bad deals" on your roster, low impact players making a lot of $. Interesting to see that compared with Fran's focus on high school recruiting vs portal.
(can't embed bluesky, so here is the copy paste)
David Hale
@adavidhalejoint.bsky.social
A lot of coaches are viewing
prices as a : Is it wise to spend $1M on a decent-but-not-great OL w/experience or $50K on your backup who hasn't really played but has some upside? You might be better overall with option A, but the margin in $ isn't worth the incremental increase in production.
It also has driven a real understanding of something that's been obvious in NFL circles for a long time: Dead money is very dangerous. "You don't want to pay guys to be watching from the sideline," as 1 coach told me. Yes, landing big names is great -- but the key will be minimizing your mistakes.
Opinions on the portal have shifted a lot, too. Now that more teams can ante up to retain their own players, the consensus among coaches I've spoken to is talent in the portal is a lot
than it was 2 years ago, while the $ for transfers has gone way
. There aren't a lot of smart investments there.
Note the word "smart." This is CFB, and much of the spending is irrational. I've had coaches tell me guys they had heard awful reports on or guys who got 75 snaps last year on a good team are now getting $900K in the portal. The drive to win mixed with lots of cash = an overheated market.