To the gambling dirtbags

[STEVEHOLT]

Notre dame -2 vs SFA? seems like a steal.

I think SFA is getting too much love based on beating a WVU team that is turnover prone and requires turnovers to score. that plays right into SFA's hands.

Notre Dame has suspect D, but they can score it. I think -2 is a bit light for ND? THOUGHTS

 

[jdubs30]

ND is lightyears better than WVU offensively. I'm with you -- I like ND laying the 2 points. I think Vegas knows that people are huge prisoners of the moment and will still be riding off of what SFA did on Friday. SFA is good, but ND should win.

 

[cliftonparksufan]

Notre dame -2 vs SFA? seems like a steal.

I think SFA is getting too much love based on beating a WVU team that is turnover prone and requires turnovers to score. that plays right into SFA's hands.

Notre Dame has suspect D, but they can score it. I think -2 is a bit light for ND? THOUGHTS

According to vegasinsider.com, the game opened at -3.5 and is now down to either -1 or -2. Guess the money is going on SFA.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/

 

[bpo57]

Game is a pick em now. SFA looked very impressive Friday night. That line looks right to me.

 

[HoustonCuse]

From Kenpom I think SFA may be rated higher or at least close.

 

[BuffOrange]

A couple thoughts on matchups. One, it's always a lot easier to assess after the fact. Every year I listen to smart X&O's guys who know more about the game than me tell me team x is going to match up well with y and then they don't. Two, it's a somewhat secondary factory to how good a team is. We match up better with UNC than Pitt but who would you rather play in the F4? ND is a much worse team than WV and it's not close.

 

[Cusefannotindc]

538 has ND 57% favorite, which is about -2/2.5
KenPom has SFA a favorite
ESPN BPI has ND an 80% favorite (but when I use their last iteration of BPI I come up with 60% which is -3/3.5)

 

[OrangeXtreme]

 

[OrangeXtreme]

 

[JOC44]

Styles make fights. Not saying they'll win, but the SFA pressure defense is about the worst type of team for ND to play.

 

[OrangeXtreme]

 

[Knicks411]

From Kenpom I think SFA may be rated higher or at least close.

SFA is currently 14 spots higher. They were 9 higher before the game Friday

 

[Orangemen]

I think there's been an over reaction to the under dogs this year. Florida gulf coast really messed up everyone's idea of what these lower seeded teams can do.

They can all win, but there is no way they should be favored. Notre dame with points on a neutral floor? That doesn't sound right to me.

 

[Reyes39]

This line was all over! Crossed 0 three times which is rare. I played the Irish -125 last night thnking it would rise...it was EV/+105 in the AM then back to -145 by tip. Nuts!

 

[kirbivore]

Notre dame -2 vs SFA? seems like a steal.

I think SFA is getting too much love based on beating a WVU team that is turnover prone and requires turnovers to score. that plays right into SFA's hands.

Notre Dame has suspect D, but they can score it. I think -2 is a bit light for ND? THOUGHTS

The house wins in the long run