I'm a UVa fan and even I think Greg is smoking crack on that one. Right now, I think it's true that Wichita, Florida, and AZ have pretty strong claims to 3 of the one seeds, the fourth I'd have to give to 'Cuse at the moment based on overall body of work.
Kansas, Duke, and Wisconsin are RIGHT there, with Villanova and UVa having a WAY outside shot if EVERYTHING goes just right (meaning winning conf tourney and bad losses/early conf tourney flameouts for all other #1 contenders)
I wish to hell the committee followed KenPom rather than RPI, and still had the "last 10" rule.
To the OP's point, I'd guess AP top 10 will be:
1. Florida
2. Wichita St
3. Arizona
4. Duke
5. Villanova
6. Virginia
7. Syracuse
8. Kansas
9. Wisconsin
10. Louisville