Watch some video. Seriously.
Swider is weirdly effective on the dribble drive. He kind of lumbers in there, using his size to get his defender off kilter and as soon as the guy takes a wrong step he pops for a high percentage. He is also good once he gets to post depth at turning a drive into a post up. Combined with his shooting, he'll be valuable on offense. And he was at Nova, too. He wasn't cut out for Wright's pressure defense, and he still was out there twenty a game. With the ability to hide him in the zone, he'll get 30+ here, and almost certainly be in double digits.
Williams I haven't seen as much, but reports state he is a great shooter and has plus SF penetration skills. At 6'9 that is a very hard to defend combination.
But most importantly, look at the sum of it's parts analysis of the starting five. There can be no help defense on dribble penetration at all. We have four guys who will light it up if you play proper team defense and help stop the dribble drive. There is going to be a lot of daylight for our forwards because Buddy and Girard have to be guarded wherever they are on the court.
Whoever has the ball, they have four good options to pass to who can make a basket, three of them from the perimeter.
The offense is not my worry this year. I think our defense will be ok, but it remains to be seen. A lot depends on our center position staying clean on foul trouble and being able to stop penetration with the dribble or pass, because our other four guys are likely below average defenders.
There is a lot to unwrap here.
You’re the third person who’s told me to watch film on Swider driving to the hoop, I can saw I’ve watched a lot of videos on him and I’m not sure I’ve seen anything you described in any of them. I’m sure he will be in double digits and I’m excited for him to shoot for us but outside of that I don’t know what other parts of his game are going to translate well for us.
Williams I doubt will be handling the ball as much as people think, like I said before I’ll believe it when I see it with him getting 20+ minutes.
How can there be no help defense? Where are Edwards and Sidibe going? Isn’t the center on them clogging space up in the middle or are we actually going to throw to the roller for the first time in 20 years?
There is no daylight when you have guys that don’t move to get open, this is not an athletic team and unless our offensive playbook is completely rewritten we’re not going to see this offensive explosion people think. Is Joe Girard going to start kicking it out while driving now? Buddy? That’s not a plus in their games, and would even be more difficult when defenders on these guys on the outside can play in their shirts knowing they’re not going to even attempt to go in.
I do like our shooting, but teams that are great with the focus on shooting have guys who are plus passers, great ball movement and a ton of moving off the ball. You just can’t take 4 guys who can shoot and throw a giant down in the middle and expect great things to happen.
Our defense is going to be bad, there’s zero reason to believe that Joe and Buddy will be improving because neither have yet and we’ve seen the record amount of allyoops against us the past couple of years because the offense just flys right by them.
I don’t see how we are any better as last year, we got to where we did because of Buddy in the tournament but we wouldn’t have sniffed the tournament with the play by Marek, Griff, Q, and Kadary in the regular season and I don’t think the guys coming in are even close to as talented as them.
I really hope I’m wrong and I appreciate your outlook. If you can send me film on Swider driving and making a shot with a set defense in front of him I’d appreciate it, I just haven’t seen it but would gladly change my opinion with evidence.