I’ve read through this thread with gritted teeth and will resist the temptation to pile on the ridicule of the OP’s author. But, I have to point out a few serious flaws in the underlying statement of; Waiters start = SU win.
Repeatedly it has been said by Mr. 123 that SU was outscored by its opponents in the first 8 minutes of its games, but not in the remaining 32. This has been offered as fact, I have no reason to doubt it so without researching I’ll accept it as such.
So if Waiters had entered the game at precisely the 8 minute mark and played the remaining 32 minutes every time, the theory would be quite air-tight. However, this is far from the case. Although Waiters never started a game this season, his time of entry and minutes of participation were variable, yet the team still managed to win 34 times.
There’s no doubt that Dion was one of the best 5 players on the team but to assume that SU would have had better success in the opening 1/5 of the game or earned more wins had he started, is completely speculative. Boeheim’s teams have historically appeared sluggish at the beginning of games, largely due to the defensive philosophy and their opponents’ preparation. Every team in the country that played SU this year, as well as most for the past few decades, knew what style of defense they would face and what things they would have to do to succeed against it. One of the things most teams do to try and beat the zone is stretch it by establishing perimeter shooting early. Although JB and his team never want to simply allow open shots, the guards and wings will not be overly aggressive early in the game in covering the long-range looks. As a team proves they can hit the long stuff and/or makes other plays that crack the zone, JB and the team adjust. Boeheim is a master at this and his results don’t lie. It is also worth mentioning that there is a silver lining for the Orange when the other team has early success from behind the arc. As the game goes on and the defensive pressure ramps up, legs get weaker and (as a general rule) the percentages of those long shots go down. So, simply put, it is not surprising and perhaps even expected that SU would be on the short end of the score for the first several minutes of its games when averaged over the course of a season and certainly in specific examples. And, in case you’ve not noticed, Boeheim’s style is consistent regardless of who his starters are.
Another thing to consider, and probably the most important point in support of why Waiters did not and should not start, is his “spark” or energy that he brings from off the bench. In team sports in general it is rare that one of a team’s best players is held off of the field for an intended benefit. But, college basketball is a little different in that regard. Many teams across the nation can boast that their 6th man is one of their best 5 players. In fact it is so common that, as I’m sure you know, there are awards in conference and nationally for 6th Men of the Year. Not all players possess that kind of energy and influence and the spark that Waiters brings to floor when coming off the bench would be lost if he started outright. Most fans know this, JB knew this and eventually Waiters embraced and relished the role.
Otto, I’m not sure if you visit here and post unpopular opinions for the attention or if you genuinely feel that you are right. In either case, I can only agree with you in saying that Dion was one of the 5 best players on the team. But, to say that they would have won more games specifically as a result of him starting is simply not true.