Good data.
Let's just assume that we are going to miss the NCAAT this year. Yes, I know that it is POSSIBLE for us to make it, like NC State did last year by winning the ACCT. But setting aside the Lloyd Christmas "...so you're saying there's a chance..." outcome, we'll be missing the NCAAT for the fourth year in a row.
Which means -- to me, anyway -- that for Red to get a fourth season, he'd have to reverse that slide next year and make the tourney. If we miss again for a FIFTH year, I don't see any way a coaching change isn't made.
To suggest that next year is make-or-break is an understatement, IMO. The problem with that is that:
- We're losing five seniors, all of whom factor into this year's rotation [I'm including McLeod here, since he's gotten more PT lately and looks positioned to play consistently moving forward, given that he's produced, after being out of the rotation most of the year].
- We could also lose other guys in the rotation -- I saw a thread over the weekend suggesting that Donnie's camp might be looking around. What about JJ? Cuffe? Bell?
- Contrary to what some might believe, neither Anthony nor White are program-changing type of talents. Great recruits, sure, but not guys that can put teams on their backs in all likelihood. And while I love the potential of a guy like Womack, he is probably a year away from being a contributor.
- Outside of Petar, as of right now we don't have any players capable of playing center.
- As of right now, the only guy projected on next year's roster as a true PG is Fennell. JJ could play here some, as could Cuffe, but neither of those guys are legitimate PGs.
So, we're going to have lots of roster turnover / attrition / change, in a pivotal year both for the program and for our floundering head coach. Not a great situation in a do or die kind of year.