Allow me to help you all break this down:
About 2500-3000 season tickets are shown as available online (as we know, there's more than that)
3 game plans and 2 game plans are also still available. Still unknown as how many remain, but I would wager about 500 of those plans are spread out amongst the sections
Call it 3500 open seats thus far
Group tickets will be withheld from any maps (typically higher up in sections) as seen below, I highly doubt these are all sold (section 303-302)
View attachment 219176
I would wager for the Louisville game there are still about 5k group-coded seats still hidden
Up to 8500 seats.
Now looking further at the ticketmaster map (without resell tix) and it's obviously ugly. I am not going to sit and count all those seats, but this number could be anywhere from 9 to 12k.
Let's call it 10,500.
19,000 seats are open in my estimates.
roughly 30,262 seats are "taken" (Game 1 Attendance)
But now you have to hope all those people reselling either sell or come, all the students show up, and the walk up tickets pick up a bit (doubtful there)
All in all - I am going to wager that
ACTUAL attendance = 28,500 and the
announced attendance is 34,195