I’m a little confused (not a rare status) why if FSU’s complaint has to do with the amount of the ESPN contract with the ACC, why would they sue the ACC, instead of ESPN? It would make more sense, if there’s any sense involved, at least to me. It seems to me that it’s all just a smokescreen for wanting to leave the conference and negotiate the GOR’s cost for them to leave, with any reasoning for it seeming irrelevant. I don’t know if they are hiding back room dealing to break up the conference promoted by boosters, political reasons, trying to eliminate any competition by private universities and weaken their overall influence. Crazy stuff to me.
Because FSU cannot actually sue ESPN if they want into the SEC as ESPN owns at least a share of the SECN like the ACCN.
In truth, you are spot on. The lawsuit is a means of an attempt to "scare" other schools and the ACC to cave to their demands. Never mind the fact that the ACC and most schools have lawyers and law schools that meet or exceed the level of FSU's lawyers and law school, no one flinched.
Looking back a the SEC deal with UT and OU, the SEC invited and agreed to take UT and OU
AFTER the Big 12 deal expired. UT and OU looked into breaking the GOR, it was too expensive and deemed not likely to work. Then, UT and OU looked into buying back their rights, it was deemed too expensive. Eventually, the Big12 worked out a deal wherein they agreed that UT and OU could leave a year early.
Likewise, USC and UCLA were accepted into the B1G
AFTER the present deal is completed. USC and UCLA looked into breaking the GOR, it was too expensive and risky with no likely success. Thus, waiting until the deal expired before leaving the PAC 12, there were no legal matters to address.
Applied to FSU, the deal is far too long for anyone to simply roll over. FSU has only floated a $100MM exit, which is not sufficient to cover the withdrawal fee, let alone buy back their TV rights. Further, FSU does not have access to $100MM to follow through, even had the ACC and ESPN agreed to the offer.
Which brings us back to your reasoned and excellent assessment: FSU will need to sue ESPN but also needs ESPN for a landing spot in the SEC. Thus, FSU can only assault the ACC and hope for a deal.