I agree with some of this, but disagree about providence being a better job. It may be for Hodgson, but that’s his opinion. There are several reasons to chose them though.
-Longer leash, lower expectations
-More guaranteed NIL from BB only
-May be easier to get to top 4 in Big East than top 8 in ACC
But as you said the new playing field is basically one thing. Who has rich donors who will spend the most. Right now in the northeast from WV to Washington DC to Maine, 1/5 of the population of the US, there are 2 programs thriving. Yukon and St John’s, (who has been excelling because of ONE billionaire, and for no other reason)
We have Lally. Duke has 20 Lallys. Arkansas has Jerry Jones and The Tyson guy. 99% of New Yorkers outside of CNY are not passionate about Syracuse. SEC schools, and Kansas, UNC, Zona etc have entire states behind them even if the fans never attended those schools. Their pool of donors has school pride AND state pride. We face an uphill battle.