"making a roster" is a pretty low bar. Mookie Watkins and Damone Brown have made NBA rosters, and there are several guys on this team better than them.
The real question is "how many guys on this team will play meaningful NBA minutes?" Answering that requires us coming up with a meaningful definition of "meaningful NBA minutes."
how about these standards:
How many players on the current SU roster will:
- garner over 500 minutes of gametime in the NBA (Dave Johnson and Damone Brown fail this test)
- appear in at least 50 games in any single NBA season
- appear in at least 40 games in two or more NBA seasons (LeRon Ellis fails this test)
- if a late first round pick, earn an NBA contract beyond their 3 year guarantee (Donte Greene will probably fail this test)
- if a 2nd round pick, will earn a 2nd NBA contract of any length
This list is basically the Lawrence Moten standard. Moten passed every one of these tests (except of course the 1st round pick test). And, I think most of us would agree that Moten was a bare minimum NBA player. At least, most of us who watch the NBA.
So, how many guys on the current roster will have an NBA career as long as Lawrence Moten (parts of 3 seasons, 119 games, 1800+ minutes)?