No question. It just wasn’t a gimme. They’re one of the better teams in the Atlantic 10 and could be a tournament team (currently 56th in NET). We’ve lost a lot of games like that in the past. Again, going back to my freshman year, we lost our first game to GW, an NIT team.
So to take a look going backwards at early season tourney/tip offs.
21-22 - VCUL, Arizona StW, AuburnL, Nova L.
20-21- No tourney CoVid Year.
19-20- OK St, Penn State (2 losses)
18-19-UConn, Oregon (2 losses)
17-18- Kansas L, UConn W(Awful Uconn team)
16-17- South Caro, UConn (2 losses)
15-16- Charlotte Uconn TAM (3 wins)
14-15- Cal L, MinnW
13-14- Minn, Cal, Baylor 3 wins
12-13- SDST ( win)
11-12 VT and Stanford (2 wins)
10-11 - Michigan/GT (2 wins)
09-10- Cal and UNC (2 wins)
08-09 - Kansas and Florida (2 wins)
07-08 - Ohio StateL Washington W
06-07 - Oklahoma St- L
05-06 Texas Tech W, FloridaL
04-05 - MS St and Memphis (2 wins)
03-04 - St Bona (W)
02-03 - Memphis (L)
01-02 - Michigan State and Wake (2 wins)
00-01- DePaul, Ohio State, Missouri (3 wins)
99-00- No neutral site tip off tourney
98-99 - Michigan and Indiana (2 wins)
97-98 St LouisW, TCUW, MichiganL ( mid season tourney)
96-97- UK L
95-96- IllinoisW, URIW, UMassL
94-95- No tourney
93-94 -No Tourney
92-93- No Tourney
We could do a bad losses one too but this makes it pretty clear to me about the reality of our program. Non conference success has been few and far between and the regular season has played out accordingly each of those years. We did sneak in a in vs Ohio State in 18-19 and IU this year wrapped around a lot of losing in important resume games.