moqui
generational talent
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John Hollinger created Player Efficiency Ratings for the NBA a while back, and in recent years he has been doing it for college players as well. Here is Hollinger's thumbnail description of the tool:
In his national rankings, Syracuse has two players in the top 100 - Southerland and Waiters are in the top 15 (Missouri is the only other program that can say that with 2 players in the top 10).
But the interesting thing is looking at his Big East rankings. If you figure an average of 10 scholarship players per team in a 16 team league, there are roughly 160 BE players; Hollinger ranks 100 of them. All 10 of Syracuse's scholarship players have a PER higher than the "average" mark of 15 (Rak comes in at 15.02, ranked 81st in the conference). Syracuse has 5 of the top 16 ranked players in the BE; nobody else has more than 2.
SU's players in order:
1. Southerland, 31.44
3. Waiters, 29.83
13. Jardine, 23.88
15. Joseph, 23.41
16. Triche, 23.32
32. Melo, 21.16
43. Keita, 19.46
50. Fair, 18.56
54. Carter-Williams, 18.26
81. Christmas, 15.02
by the way, Pre-Season Big East Player of the Year Ashton Gibbs sits at #51 with a PER of 18.36
The player efficiency rating (PER) is a rating of a player's per-minute productivity.
To generate PER, I created formulas -- outlined in tortuous detail in my book "Pro Basketball Forecast" -- that return a value for each of a player's accomplishments. That includes positive accomplishments such as field goals, free throws, 3-pointers, assists, rebounds, blocks and steals, and negative ones such as missed shots, turnovers and personal fouls.
Two important things to remember about PER are that it's per-minute and is pace-adjusted.
Because it's a per-minute measure, it allows us to compare, say, Steve Blake and Derek Fisher, even though there is a disparity in their minutes played.
I also adjust each player's rating for his team's pace, so that players on a slow-paced team like Detroit aren't penalized just because their team has fewer possessions than a fast-paced team such as Golden State.
Bear in mind that PER is not the final, once-and-for-all evaluation of a player's accomplishments during the season. This is especially true for defensive specialists -- such as Quinton Ross and Jason Collins -- who don't get many blocks or steals.
What PER can do, however, is summarize a player's statistical accomplishments in a single number. That allows us to unify the disparate data on each player we try to track in our heads (e.g., Corey Maggette: free-throw machine, good rebounder, decent shooter, poor passer, etc.) so that we can move on to evaluating what might be missing from the stats.
I set the league average in PER to 15.00 every season.
In his national rankings, Syracuse has two players in the top 100 - Southerland and Waiters are in the top 15 (Missouri is the only other program that can say that with 2 players in the top 10).
But the interesting thing is looking at his Big East rankings. If you figure an average of 10 scholarship players per team in a 16 team league, there are roughly 160 BE players; Hollinger ranks 100 of them. All 10 of Syracuse's scholarship players have a PER higher than the "average" mark of 15 (Rak comes in at 15.02, ranked 81st in the conference). Syracuse has 5 of the top 16 ranked players in the BE; nobody else has more than 2.
SU's players in order:
1. Southerland, 31.44
3. Waiters, 29.83
13. Jardine, 23.88
15. Joseph, 23.41
16. Triche, 23.32
32. Melo, 21.16
43. Keita, 19.46
50. Fair, 18.56
54. Carter-Williams, 18.26
81. Christmas, 15.02
by the way, Pre-Season Big East Player of the Year Ashton Gibbs sits at #51 with a PER of 18.36