I agree. Absolutely dreadful season. Not sure it could be argued otherwise. And in terms of talent, it needs to improve. And the coaching was not particularly great either. Agree there as well.
Having said that, however, two questions remain:
1) How are we supposed to evaluate the recruits we get? We are not going to magically start landing 4/5 star kids all over and we could fire this whole staff and start over ... of course that would mean it was the staffs fault but does that make sense considering it's been more than 20 years since we recruited at a high level? I'd argue no, it's just more of the same.
2) Is it something where we need to get rid of this staff? I don't really think so at this point given that they have actually had a taste of success and given that we have churned through a bunch of coaches with similar results.
So here is the thing. I love Dino Babers as a man. He is a great great guy and brings a charisma and dare I say swag to SU that we haven't had in a head coach in a while if ever.
I love HCDB for Syracuse football. Love the locker room speeches and his football mind, the hurry up offense. Most importantly his leadership and the culture he is trying to bring to my school. The one concern I have is clock management specifically at the end of halves and the game. That can be fixed. The one thing I cannot accept is the recruiting. HCDB was a MAC coach and the level of recruits we are getting are good enough to challenge for the MAC or AAC championship every year. Its his comfort level, I get it. But now he is in the ACC playing teams with ACC caliber recruits. So the scheme we employed was cute and caught some teams by surprise the 1st couple of years. The HCSS recruits lead by Dungey led us to a magical season 2 years ago in what was frankly the most rewarding college sports season personally for me in 19 years. But now we have HCDB recruits 100% So no excuses. Lets look at last year and see how HCDB recruits performed in the trenches.
Offensive line-
We had one HCSS holdover at G. The rest were Dino's guys. The short of it 50 sacks given up. Not just the worst in ACC or P5,but amongst the worst in all of NCAA division one
Excuse watch****** We had injuries to the HCSS G Adams and had to play a bunch of true Freshman we had nobody else ready.
My response- THAT IS EXACTLY MY FREAKING POINT!!!! We didn't have ANYBODY else from HCDB prior classes who after years in the system could step in and compete at the ACC level. So we turned to Freshman. That's why I theorized you can predict how good Syracuse will be based on the recruits from the prior 2 cycles. If you want to know how we will perform next year look at our recruits from 18 and 19.
Now lets look at the Defense
Excuse watch*******We lost 1 HCSS DT to injury and other teams
What happened we lined up our MAC level recruits against the ACC O-lines and they blew us away. Again running the ball straight ahead tends to show in a undisputable way the talent difference in the trenches. Again if two guys line up in front of each other and engage. 80% of the time the more talented, bigger, stronger, better ACC type will maul the MAC, AAC, Sun Belt type player. Lets look at a couple of our games to illustrate this difference
Week 2 UMD 63-20 loss Maryland 354 yards rushing 7.9yds a clip season high As a comparison Maryland had only 317 yds rushing vs Howard Think about that for a second as you say "our recruiting isn't that bad. Here is the interesting point Maryland key recruits who killed us this game
17 4 star rb Anthony McFarland 99 overall recruit 75yds 2 tds 29 offers from P5 teams including Syracuse
17 4 star OG MarcusMinor 220 overall recruit 25 offers from P5 schools
17 4 star OT Jordan McNair 287 overall recruit 19 offers from P5 schools
17 3 star rb Javon Leake 468 overall recruit 7 rushes 107yds 2 tds
17 3star rb Tayon Fleet Davis 855 overall recruit 61yds 1 td 9 offers from P5 schools
17 3 star OC Johnny Jordan 863 overall recruit 9 offers from P5 schools
18 4 star OT Jaelyn Duncan 145 overall recruit 13 P5 offers
Excuse watch*** They won because they get 4 star recruits
My response**** DUH!!!! Better recruits gives you an advantage but it is not the end all. We need better recruits
Excuse watch*** Maryland is a prettier campus, in a better region without snow blah blah blah blah
My response*** lets look at another game vs a conference peer in our region with snow who also routinely recruits better than us in the trenches
BC 58-27 loss. Everybody knows they lined up we lined up and they ran it down our throat 65times for 496 yds. They stopped counting yards rushing vs our MAC level recruits and started measuring by football fields rushed for... almost 5. Again this was the worst most humiliating football game I have ever attended. Boston College Trench recruiting
17 3 star RB AJ Dillon 407 overall 35 rushes 242 yds 3 td 13 P5 offers
17 3 star OG Ben Petrula 723 8 P5 offers
18 4 star OG Finn Dirstine 362 overall 4 P5 offers major interest from ND Mich Ala
18 3 star OG Thomas Shelmire 953
Excuse watch**** This proves that you don't have to have high recruits
my response**** Exactly, but to win in the ACC you have to have ACC quality O-line recruiting This is what I want to see Syracuse do more of in the trenches. And it doesn't have to be 4 star players necessarily, but they do have to be players that other P5 teams are recruiting. Again higher probability that they will be better players. One set of eyes can lie about a P5 player. Less likely that 7+ sets of eyes are lying so on and so on. Our interior line and O-line recruiting was AAC or MAC level so far under HCDB. Here are the highest rated O-linemen in 17- unranked 3 star Dakota Davis or unranked 3 star Patrick Davis (you pick one smh). 18 4 star Quadir White- but we have to put a asterisk by his name as he has never seen the field. But alas we have a ACC recruit in the trenches-
2018 3 star OG Carlos Vettorello 915 ranked 12 P5 offers. Here is the good news. The profile on Vettorello is what we should be recruiting more of. Its the ACC player recruit profile that is needed to build depth early in case a upperclass player goes down like we have seen each of the last few years, and that should be a good ACC starting type player his junior and senior seasons. Perhaps Bergeron was a diamond in a rough and will be solid. But what else do we have on the O-line for 2021 that we can rely on. Again in my theory recruiting 2 years prior is indicative of how you will perform 2 years later.
So this bunch gave up 50 sacks last year, and we lose our best wr and rb. Recruited behind these olinemen including current verbals for 2021
18 DE turned OT maybe Cooper Dawson
19 OT Anthony Red 1817 ranked player 0 P5 offers besides Syracuse
20 OT Garth Barclay 955 ranked player 1 P5 offer besides Syracuse
20 OT Mark Petry 268 ranked Juco player 0 P5 offers besides Syracuse
we do have a transfer in Bleich who will be eligible in 2021 maybe sooner if the NCAA does us a solid but I wouldn't hold my breathe on that although it would be huge based on what we have. But again looking to 2021 we are looking at Vetto, Bleich Bergeron and 3 or 4 other guys to round out our rotation. And we cant even confidently point to those other players on our existing roster unless you think its these guys with zero or 1 P5 offers above. This is HCDB fatal flaw, recruiting and developing quality depth (more on that in a different thread). We had zero quality depth in the trenches (O-line and interior D-line) last year on either line. One injury to each line revealed this flaw. On top of that we lost our best O-lineman and both stud DE's to graduation. We DO have a ton of bodies at DE but all but Jonathan are unproven, unless Black is playing DE. We also have new LB that are even more unproven, and if your starters are unproven how can you possibly have quality depth. So we have to improve it. Until we do I see 4 or 5 win seasons unless we get some 4 or 5 star type recruit who can step in immediately and star as a freshman.
Billsin01 the above was a long winded idea of what I see wrong and how to improve and even a examples of how we can get better based on teams that really embarrassed us. It is not the magic bullet, just a thought based on the irrefutable evidence that you can see in game film on these two games. Here is the short answer
1) How are we supposed to evaluate the recruits we get? We are not going to magically start landing 4/5 star kids all over and we could fire this whole staff and start over ... of course that would mean it was the staffs fault but does that make sense considering it's been more than 20 years since we recruited at a high level? I'd argue no, it's just more of the same************
Recruit with a emphasis on the O-line and DT (this may change with the new 3-3-5). If all you have is good trenches its a start and you can play smash mouth football and be stout against the run. Good start for any team. Look at what MD and BC did to us
2) Is it something where we need to get rid of this staff? I don't really think so at this point given that they have actually had a taste of success and given that we have churned through a bunch of coaches with similar results.*******
Man I really like HCDB. I was hoping more that we got a top notch recruiter. Perhaps this new D-cord will work wonders. I can say this we can love HCDB but another 4 or 5 win season and he is on the hot seat. 2 more this year and next and he is gone. So I truly want him to pick it up. Let me know your thoughts. Lets go Orange