The problem with the current course is that it randomly punishes too many good approach shots. A few to many false drop offs.
Many US Opens require precision, have a few players under par, "the course wins", but don't have the approach shot problems to the same extent. Although to be fair let's see what happens when the wind is less of a factor.
EDIT - After watching more today, with less wind, I am going to say it's a very fair test.
I know I'm late to this thread but my pick was Rose. I know I know easy to say now since he's in 3rd and 3 strokes back. But he's played as well as anyone the last 8 or 9 months. Plus he won in china last fall when down 6 strokes to DJ going into the final round