Some points from my bracket
- I ended up with Florida as my overall #1 seed. It was very tight between #1 and #3, ask me tomorrow I may change my mind on the entire order. The main reason I went with Florida over Auburn is they were 5-2 in elite games (1 and 2 seeds) vs 4-4. They won the SEC title which I know is just another game, so let's just consider that as part of the 5-2 advantage. They won at Auburn. And they ended up with the same overall record as Auburn.
The equalizer for Auburn is 16Q1 vs 11Q1. But Auburn also lost to Florida and Duke, which makes it difficult to place them over both of them,
- I know some of you want to see St. John's in Newark. But as long as they were #7 or #8 (behind Tennessee and Alabama), and the way bracketing is apparently supposed to work, I couldn't get them there. If they had been #9 they would have been the #3 seed in Newark, but I don't see who the committee would put above them
- I took
ar inj, comment yesterday regarding using analytics for seeding in mind -- I think its something they have moved to a bit in the past. For that reason I have
Gonzaga as a 5 instead of a 7 per the BM
Oregon as a 7 instead of a 5 per the BM
Memphis as a 10 instead of an 8
UC San Diego as a 12 instead of a 10
- Also have Kentucky/Louisville as a 3/6 matchup. Typically against the rules for a rematch in round of 32, unless they have no workaround... it was either an SEC re-match or Louisville, and I think the NCAA will find a way to picks its spot here.
- West Virginia, Indiana, Texas and San Diego St are my last 4 in.
- If I had to guess what I could be wrong be about, it will be Xavier over Texas. Xavier had 1 Q1 win, but UConn and Creighton are very close to Q1.