Bubble Watch - March 12

[Knicks411]

you people are doing God's work in this thread (and all the others) much appreciated

 

[McNabb2Brominski]

If my calculations are correct, there are only 2 possible bid stealers: Fresno St. and the winner of tulane/memphis. Assuming those 2 teams dont win their conference tourney (god help me if tulane/memphis beats uconn) I see the following 8 teams fighting for 5 spots:

South Carolina
Cuse
Vandy
SBU
Temple
St Marys
Mich
Monmouth

I think the top 5 make it in. Cuse/michigan is probably the 68th spot IMO.

 

[PauliePeppas]

Yea seriously...props to all who are keeping everyone in the loop.

 

[jdubs30]

Kentucky/AM should be fun

Honestly I could see both in the Final 4. When we beat A&M in Atlantis I thought they'd be one of the last 4 or 8 standing come March.

 

[jdubs30]

If my calculations are correct, there are only 2 possible bid stealers: Fresno St. and the winner of tulane/memphis. Assuming those 2 teams dont win their conference tourney (god help me if tulane/memphis beats uconn) I see the following 8 teams fighting for 5 spots:

South Carolina
Cuse
Vandy
SBU
Temple
St Marys
Mich
Monmouth

I think the top 5 make it in. Cuse/michigan is probably the 68th spot IMO.

At first glance that list looks accurate -- maybe jncuse or Pearl could give you input, but I think you've covered it.

FWIW -- I think we are ahead of Monmouth, St. Mary's, Temple and SBU. South Carolina is probably going to get in because of 24 wins in a P5 conference. That means hopefully it's Michigan, Vandy, Syracuse and pick 1 mid-major..

Obviously that can shrink with a SDSU or UConn loss.

 

[CaptainJ]

Dickie V just put Georgia in the tournament - based on HIS eye test there is no way there are 35 better teams than Georgia. Dickie V has spoken,

For as long as he's been around, I do think his one eye is often more accurate than the pair most folks have.

 

[Chris02M]

If my calculations are correct, there are only 2 possible bid stealers: Fresno St. and the winner of tulane/memphis. Assuming those 2 teams dont win their conference tourney (god help me if tulane/memphis beats uconn) I see the following 8 teams fighting for 5 spots:

South Carolina
Cuse
Vandy
SBU
Temple
St Marys
Mich
Monmouth

I think the top 5 make it in. Cuse/michigan is probably the 68th spot IMO.

id include valpo in the discussion though i think they just miss

 

[Tom W.]

At first glance that list looks accurate -- maybe jncuse or Pearl could give you input, but I think you've covered it.

FWIW -- I think we are ahead of Monmouth, St. Mary's, Temple and SBU. South Carolina is probably going to get in because of 24 wins in a P5 conference. That means hopefully it's Michigan, Vandy, Syracuse and pick 1 mid-major..

Obviously that can shrink with a SDSU or UConn loss.

It is really close for SDSU if they lose. They have a sub 300 loss and only 3 top 100 wins. Good SOS but not a resume that is special in any way. Having said that, obviously them winning just makes everything easier.

 

[Chris02M]

my last 5 in are :
south carolina
syracuse
st bonaventure
temple
michigan

which would likely mean a play in matchup vs temple or michigan

 

[iommi]

my last 5 in are :
south carolina
syracuse
st bonaventure
temple
michigan

which would likely mean a play in matchup vs temple or michigan

What is your order? Do you have Syracuse as #67?

 

[jdubs30]

As long as we avoid Vandy in Dayton -- I'll be good with whoever -- I just want in the field

 

[Tom W.]

As long as we avoid Vandy in Dayton -- I'll be good with whoever -- I just want in the field

Exactly. Just call our name on Sunday.

 

[jncuse]

Only 3 more bad scenarios to get through

1) UConn losing to Memphis/Tulane (would cost 1 spot)
2) San Diego St vs Fresno St (May cost a spot)
3) Arkasnas St vs Louisiana Monroe (Probably would not cost a spot, but let's not see it)

 

[Nicknack]

I never for a million years would have thought I would be so excited about the prospect of us getting an opportunity to Play In to the NCAA Tourney, but I am! It is what it is. All that means it that it takes 7 wins to cut the nets down rather than 6. Go SELECTION COMMITTEE - BE NICE!

 

[tee1222]

 

[Chris02M]

What is your order? Do you have Syracuse as #67?

south carolina
syracuse
st bonaventure
michigan
temple

 

[jncuse]

I would have preferred Tulane to win this. Would seem easier for UConn to win. Memphis scares me quite a bit,

 

[sabach]

As long as we avoid Vandy in Dayton -- I'll be good with whoever -- I just want in the field

Palm has us playing Monmouth with the winner playing Oregon. I'd take that.

 

[CorduroyG]

Palm has us playing Monmouth with the winner playing Oregon. I'd take that.

Yes please

 

[iommi]

south carolina
syracuse
st bonaventure
michigan
temple

So you have us as #65? That's seems very optimistic, to say the least.

 

[Chris02M]

So you have us as #65? That's seems very optimistic, to say the least.

our wins are better than 66-68 but its tight between those 3 before the last at large

 

[jncuse]

So you have us as #65? That's seems very optimistic, to say the least.

The margins on the last teams in / First few out is quite small. It depends a bit too on what you prefer or think they will prefer, I think #65 for us is quite reasonable, but #69 is also acceptable.

 

[jncuse]

San Diego St has a good rep, has a KP of 37. Beat Cal. Lacks quantity, but I am concerned about the "Eye' Test for them. Don't want an additional player to worry about, even if we think they would not get an at-large.

 

[pearl31]

ugh c'mon SD st don't ruin our perfect day

 

[CaptainJ]

"Seven Nation Army" being hummed