Buffalo Bills 2021 Thread

[syrBossHogg]

KC is substantially better than when we faced them this year. It’s fitting we end up with this rematch though after last year. Absolutely have to get to Mahomes in some capacity.

Offensively I would expect a gameplan similar to the Patriots game + first KC Matchup. Chiefs are better on the D-line with Ingram + Jones back, but still slow at LB and not very deep in the secondary.

 

[SU94]

KC is substantially better than when we faced them this year. It’s fitting we end up with this rematch though after last year. Absolutely have to get to Mahomes in some capacity.

QBs: A wash. Mahomes is a more consistent passer, but Allen is no slouch and might have a higher ceiling (might!). And #17 is decisively a better runner (but Mahomes is above average here, too, to be fair)

Offenses: Both a bit pass-centric, but in the end, amazingly even. BUF likely has deeper roster of offensive talent, KC has more higher-end talent (Kelce primarily) and a tad more ingenuity (trick-eration). Curious if CEH is back for this game? Advantage on the OLine to the Bills, who unearthed a running attack thanks to Bates insertion into the starting lineup.

Defense: Slight edge to BUF (if T.White were only healthy, would be greater), but KC is now nothing to sneeze at, especially with Jones back in the fold (I think he missed the game back in Week 5)

Special Teams: I trust Bass, not Haack. I know the Chiefs have good kickers too. Maybe a slight advantage to KC on the kicking front. The Bills punt returners are not an emphasis. So again, advantage Chiefs.

Outcome: This game will be a better matchup than the Super Bowl. This is likely a bit too one-sided on my end, but if Allen plays "great" or even "very good," I think the Bills get enough stops and find a way to win by 3-5 points. Otherwise, KC advances by 3-4 points. One possession at the end of the game will decide it.

One thing to point out ... the Bills are due to win a close game. They lost them all this year and I see that as more of a mathematical fluke than any semblance of a flaw or short-coming. So, if it becomes a coin-flip game, last-team-with-the-ball-wins scenario, I think Allen and the Bills score to win (like they did not at Tennessee, at Tampa Bay, at Jacksonville, vs, New England).

 

[NineOneSeven]

SU94 , good post. It’s amazing how we only win by 2 scores. Recipe has been simple- score first, build a 2 score lead, force teams to pass, and maintain it.

 

[JeremyCuse]

KC is substantially better than when we faced them this year. It’s fitting we end up with this rematch though after last year. Absolutely have to get to Mahomes in some capacity.

Thats' my biggest concern for this game, we won't be able to get home on Mahomes and without Tre we can't afford to not double Hill and leave Kelce 1 on 1 with someone. Gonna be a very difficult task for the D on Sunday.

 

[upperdeck]

If Pitt had any kind of offense they probably are up 10-14 pts last week and maybe KC doesnt have the time to figure it out. Bills have to make some stops turn into pts of Mahomes makes errors again.,

 

[shandeezy7]

Thats' my biggest concern for this game, we won't be able to get home on Mahomes and without Tre we can't afford to not double Hill and leave Kelce 1 on 1 with someone. Gonna be a very difficult task for the D on Sunday.

Yeah my nightmare is Kelce abusing Edmunds and Milano all game long.

 

[NineOneSeven]

Yeah my nightmare is Kelce abusing Edmunds and Milano all game long.

Have to assume he’s going to make plays. That is what the best players do. What we have to limit, is the HUGE game (150+ yards, etc). Similar to how he took over the chargers game.

 

[JeremyCuse]

Yeah my nightmare is Kelce abusing Edmunds and Milano all game long.

Save for last game, he's destroyed us in every other meeting. Really hope we have a good game plan here, clearly we won't be able to stop Hill and him all game. One think against Pitt, KC went to a lot of their secondary guys who had a bunch of success.

 

[SU94]

Save for last game, he's destroyed us in every other meeting. Really hope we have a good game plan here, clearly we won't be able to stop Hill and him all game. One think against Pitt, KC went to a lot of their secondary guys who had a bunch of success.

McDermott is very likely to play 2-deep safeties the majority of the game. That's what worked in Week 5. I could see a few extra blitz opportunities come Sunday, but I think he's going to have the Chiefs/Mahomes prove he can be patient. Can he hang in there for 10-14 play drives and not get antsy. My guess is that Mahomes will adjust and do well, but those longer drives will hopefully erode his creativity and maybe allow the Bills pass rush to get to Mahomes.

I think Allen will again take advantage of the Chiefs pedestrian safety, Sorenson, who had a terrble game in Week 5. He'll need to run. And scramble. Those are different.

Hoping the dry forecast sticks and allows Allen to THRIVE and for Diggs to take the challenge that he is better than T.Hill.

 

[shandeezy7]

McDermott is very likely to play 2-deep safeties the majority of the game. That's what worked in Week 5. I could see a few extra blitz opportunities come Sunday, but I think he's going to have the Chiefs/Mahomes prove he can be patient. Can he hang in there for 10-14 play drives and not get antsy. My guess is that Mahomes will adjust and do well, but those longer drives will hopefully erode his creativity and maybe allow the Bills pass rush to get to Mahomes.

I think Allen will again take advantage of the Chiefs pedestrian safety, Sorenson, who had a terrble game in Week 5. He'll need to run. And scramble. Those are different.

Hoping the dry forecast sticks and allows Allen to THRIVE and for Diggs to take the challenge that he is better than T.Hill.

I think the only way it works is if our offense puts enough pressure on Mahomes to want to abandon the dink and dunk underneath stuff. The regular season game last season was a perfect example of that, as Mahomes led KC on 8 minute back breaking drives and we would proceed to go 3 and out.

 

[pattycuse]

I think the only way it works is if our offense puts enough pressure on Mahomes to want to abandon the dink and dunk underneath stuff. The regular season game last season was a perfect example of that, as Mahomes led KC on 8 minute back breaking drives and we would proceed to go 3 and out.

Agree. The key to the game is our offense- we aren't going to win this game 13-10. Defense has to do just enough while the offense scores 30+.

 

[DMDMD]

I think Allen will again take advantage of the Chiefs pedestrian safety, Sorenson, who had a terrble game in Week 5. He'll need to run. And scramble. Those are different.

Dan Sorenson is not pedestrian, unless you mean literally any pedestrian could play at his level.

The Buffalo game is what forced spagnuolo to move away from Sorenson as a free safety and back to Thornhill. Sorenson is now exclusively a box safety in light packages.

 

[Capt. Tuttle]

Didn’t get back until about 1:30 last night. Game was a ton of fun. It was obvious from the get go the Pats had no chance. People were dumping tickets so my wife and I grabbed some in the 200 level sideline club sections. Wasn’t so cold when a lot of people were there and I’m sure the overhead heaters in those sections help, a little brisk when the sections cleared out for halftime and at the end of the game. I didn’t even need my gloves for the game and had a beer in my bare hand the whole time.

Bills fans are hardy, man. Lots of people tailgating with raging fires in the parking lots. Saw at least 3 people hanging their heads out the windows of cars vomiting on the way out. Vomit freezes quickly, if you’re curious. Also, someone threw a dildo into the end zone. Hilarious. I thought that was reserved for Tom Brady.

My only criticism is that the traffic flow/parking situation going into the game is the worst I’ve seen at a stadium. This is the third game I’ve been to this stadium, first time I actually parked in the stadium lots.

I would have used a cup for the beer, but glad you had fun. Great day for the Mafia.

 

[Capt. Tuttle]

Couldn't make it to the game but...

Mafia. OJ. Hits. I get it

 

[syrBossHogg]

Was looking at the snap count from the week 5 game and found some interesting notes

Zack Moss - 42 snaps (74%)
Devin Singletary - 15 snaps (26%)

Jon Feliciano - 57 snaps (100%)

Emmanuel Sanders - 45 snaps (79%)
Gabriel Davis - 14 snaps (25%)
Isaiah McKenzie - 8 snaps (14%)


AJ Klein - 54 snaps (63%) filling in for injured Milano
Harrison Phillips was a HEALTHY SCRATCH

 

[Toga]

Was looking at the snap count from the week 5 game and found some interesting notes

Zack Moss - 42 snaps (74%)
Devin Singletary - 15 snaps (26%)

Jon Feliciano - 57 snaps (100%)

Emmanuel Sanders - 45 snaps (79%)
Gabriel Davis - 14 snaps (25%)
Isaiah McKenzie - 8 snaps (14%)


AJ Klein - 54 snaps (63%) filling in for injured Milano
Harrison Phillips was a HEALTHY SCRATCH

Respect the process.

 

[syrBossHogg]

Respect the process.

Yup. Shows much teams can change not just over the offseason, but in season as well.

 

[samspann1]

 

[Newhouser]

Stripes will be key - Chiefs DB's are very handsy. If the stripes let them their D is much better, if they don't...they can't cover.

 

[shandeezy7]

Stripes will be key - Chiefs DB's are very handsy. If the stripes let them their D is much better, if they don't...they can't cover.

 

[chugg21]

Not sure if I'm a curmudgeon but this irritates me. He's been on the bandwagon for a while now and it was his 1st time stepping foot in Buffalo? GTFOH! If you haven't suffered through 20 years of pain then you don't get to hop on at the top. Of course good Buffalo press being spread nationally is cool but I still have issues.

 

[Eric15]

It's going to be in the 40s in Kansas City on Sunday which will probably feel like the Bahamas after the last game.

 

[BuffOrange]

I don't like the fact that I know Hussey's name. Pretty sure he stinks. The guy last week who also apparently did the Colts game last year was fine; never heard of him. Of course he doesn't get a game this week. Good job NFL.

But who knows. The Cheffers crew that flagged them in the SuperBowl was the same one that bent over backwards to keep them in the game Week 5. So maybe that was just a home team crew.

I don't think enough is made of none of our WRs being healthy last year though. No amount of grabbing can account for struggling to get open when we torched the best CB tandem in the league for a 2nd time just a few weeks earlier.

 

[syrBossHogg]

Stripes will be key - Chiefs DB's are very handsy. If the stripes let them their D is much better, if they don't...they can't cover.

Goes both ways too - Bills were physical with the Chiefs WRs in week 5. Pretty sure Kelce doesn't like taking a lot of contact.

 

[Newhouser]

so its Hussey but not his usual crew so the stats are sort of useless no?