I agree that they will trade him and his value will be high with his expiring contract. However, they were trying to figure out what to do with Horford back in February and nobody would take on his deal without Ainge giving up one of his picks. He has had a good run and is a good player - he is not a max guy, nor is Paul George nor is Hayward. My whole point on this wasn't that they won't get max deals its that teams who understand that their are maybe 5 or 6 guys in the league who deserve max deals are going to win in the long run.
This seems wrong. It is surprisingly difficult to figure out exactly who has a maximum contract given the complexities of the NBA rules, but below are the 20 highest-paid players in the NBA:
Of the 20, 16 played for playoff teams. Of the four that did not, one is retired (Bosh) and his team still made the playoffs, and one was hurt all year (Conley).
Each of the top 2 seeds in two conferences have two guys on this list: Houston (Harden, Paul), Toronto (Lowry, DeRozen), GSW (Curry, Durant), Boston (Hayward, Horford). Of those, Durant at 16 is the lowest paid, meaning the top 4 teams, representing 1/8 of the league, have 1/2 of the 16 highest paid players. The three seed in the West? Portland, which also had two guys on the list. (East three-seed Philly has no one on the list right now, but obviously will soon enough, and certainly isn't going to complain when Simmons and Embiid are max guys).
There are definitely some stinkers in here - Milsap, Griffin, Carmelo, Bosh. And there are a few who are probably somewhat overpaid. But having excellent, highly-paid players is what makes teams win. If anything, the max contract makes many of those guys more valuable than they would otherwise be by repressing their price.
1 Stephen Curry GSW $34,682,550 $37,457,154 $40,231,758 $43,006,362 $45,780,966 Bird Rights $201,158,790
2 LeBron James CLE $33,285,709 $35,607,968 Early Bird $33,285,709
3 Paul Millsap DEN $31,269,231 $29,730,769 $30,500,000 Cap space $61,000,000
4 Gordon Hayward BOS $29,727,900 $31,214,295 $32,700,690 $34,187,085 Cap space $93,642,885
5 Blake Griffin DET $29,512,900 $31,873,932 $34,234,964 $36,595,996 $38,957,028 Bird Rights $132,217,792
6 Kyle Lowry TOR $28,703,704 $31,000,000 $33,296,296 Bird Rights $93,000,000
7 Russell Westbrook OKC $28,530,608 $35,350,000 $38,178,000 $41,006,000 $43,848,000 Bird Rights $186,912,608
8 Mike Conley MEM $28,530,608 $30,521,115 $32,511,623 $34,504,132 Cap Space $113,989,729
9 James Harden HOU $28,299,399 $30,431,854 $37,800,000 $40,824,000 $43,848,000 Bird Rights $181,203,253
10 DeMar DeRozan TOR $27,739,975 $27,739,975 $27,739,975 $27,739,975 Cap Space $83,219,925
11 Al Horford BOS $27,734,405 $28,928,710 $30,123,015 Cap Space $56,663,115
12 Carmelo Anthony OKC $26,243,760 $27,928,140 Bird Rights $26,243,760
13 Damian Lillard POR $26,153,057 $27,977,689 $29,802,321 $31,626,953 1st Round Pick $115,560,020
14 Jrue Holiday NOP $25,686,667 $26,131,111 $26,131,111 $26,131,111 $27,020,000 Bird Rights $104,080,000
15 Chris Bosh MIA $25,289,390 $26,837,720 $52,127,110
16 Kevin Durant GSW $25,000,000 $26,250,000 Non-Bird Rights $25,000,000
17 Otto Porter WAS $24,773,250 $26,011,913 $27,250,576 $28,489,239 Bird Rights $78,035,739
18 Chris Paul HOU $24,599,495 Bird Rights $24,599,495
19 C.J. McCollum POR $23,962,573 $25,759,766 $27,556,959 $29,354,152 1st Round Pick $106,633,450
20 Bradley Beal WAS $23,775,506 $25,434,263 $27,093,019 $28,751,775 Cap Space $105,054,56