I just did a quick analysis of 2-4-7. Here’s what I got.
NJ has a top 100 and no kids ranked past #50 are committed to a P5 school. Here’s their top 25 and where they’re committed to in order of ranking.
Ohio State
Open
Ohio State*
aTm
Michigan***morant
Michigan
Notre Dame
Purdue
aTm
Stanford
BC
Penn State*
West Virginia
Michigan
Miami*
Villanova ?
Notre Dame
Maryland
Rutgers
BC
Pitt
Georgia
Rutgers
Rutgers
Rutgers
*indicates players Syracuse invested time in
***legacy
-The two we have committed Pena, Lowery, are ranked btw 30-35
Florida. Florida has rankings out past 300 kids. There are 11 kids ranked between #200 & #269 committed to Power 5 schools. The last kid at #269 would be ranked #47 in New Jersey. Coincidentally he’s going to Rutgers.
we are bringing in 4 kids from Florida possibly 5. Ranked; #70 ?, #90, #102, #136, #146.
The 5 of them, would be ranked #’s 14, 17, 20, 28 and 30 in NJ.
here’s the rub, the offers the Florida 5 carry are way beyond their rankings.
in order of ranking:
#70 Kentron Poitier - decides tomorrow between Syracuse, Florida and Florida State. He OV’d to all 3. Offer sheet includes Alabama, Auburn, Miami, Georgia, Michigan, Tennessee, you get the picture
#90 Latarie Kinsler - OV’d to LVille (former Commit) & Nebraska. Offers from Miami, Tennessee, Oregon, Kentucky, Penn State, LSU, Oregon, aTm, Washington, Missouri, Indian, Purdue, Illinois, USC, South Carolina
#102 Damien Alford - OV’d to UVA, cancelled Pitt. Offers from Florida, FSU, Georgia, GT, Kentucky, Miami, NC State, Oklahoma, Penn State, Rutgers, Tennessee, West Virginia, Washington State
#136 Robert Hanna - committed to Syracuse In June and shut it down. No other OVs. Offers - BC, Miami, Maryland, Louisville, Pittsburgh, North Carolina, Rutgers, Washington State
#146 - Ja’Vontae Williams - 1 OV Syr. Kid just qualified about 2 weeks ago. Even with non qual status had received offers from Miami, Oregon, Illinois, Indiana. Could probably make an arguement for a lot more attention had he been a full qualifier all along.
I think it’s clear why we go to Florida and why we don’t put a lot of effort into NJ. (Though we put more effort into NJ early spring until we know where we stand and kids fall out). We’re not winning any of those top 20 kids in NJ who all went to blue bloods outside of a few outliers. we invested a lot of time into several of them to including Morant. They’re not interested so why bother for the scraps when the kids in the other states are better.
N.Y. Our FL kids would be ranked 5, 7, 8, 13 and 18 in New York. But let’s be honest, sporting those offers in NY they would be ranked 1 thru 5.
If we're going to aspire to be a top 25 team on a consistent basis then we need to be in on some of these top 20 kids in NJ. If we're not then it's unlikely that we'll achieve consistent top 25 status. It's seems very strange to me that we would cede NJ to bigger out of the area programs.
In any event, why not put resources into Fla and NJ? Why does it have to be one or the other? And let's sure as hell put resources in NJ as opposed to the other surrounding states as that is where the talent is abundant as compared to NY, CT, DEL, MA etc.
I'll let you have the last word.