The next 5 teams we play all stink

[Jake]

Welp..now I don’t think we end up with a winning record unless Frank steps up big time.

 

[pearl31]

Welp..now I don’t think we end up with a winning record unless Frank steps up big time.

I still think we win the BC, GT, Miami home games - put us at 16-15 into the acct - pray for a favorable matchup in the first round there

 

[SUFan44]

So what you're saying is you expect us to:

Lose @ VT, @ ND, vs. Duke, @ UNC
Win vs. BC, vs. GT, vs. Miami

Maybe flip @ UNC for vs. Miami, but 1-1 split on those.

That's probably realistic.

Looking at the losses, here's what I see as odds:

@ VT - 40-60 - Though KenPom thinks we are 29% to win, I think it's closer to 40% and maybe 45%. They've beaten exactly one team better than SU according to KenPom - vs. ND. Close to a coin flip.

@ ND - 40-60 - I think this is probably a tougher game than VT, but I think we matchup a bit better with them. At least historically we have. Looking at results, they're on a good run - also beat Kentucky. I think they're closer to in than out, regardless of what the pundits think.

vs. Duke - 20-80 - Not a good matchup, but home court and a raucous atmosphere could turn the tide. Likeliest of losses.

@ UNC - 30-70 - We will need to shoot extremely well, but UNC's defense isn't very good. Ours is much worse, but they are ranked 242nd in 3-pt. FG% defense. We are a 7-9 point underdog, but not impossible.

If we can get 2 of the 4 in question without Duke, that'd put us at 18-13 overall, 12-8 in league. No signature wins, but some pretty good mid-tier wins against like schools.

With a Duke win - same record, and a signature win. Playing much better at the end of the year. I would say that's enough to be on the bubble.

Long way of saying, we have a chance but it's still not great, even if we win the games we should and even win a couple on the road that we'll be underdogs for. Need some help too.

If we somehow go 6-1 down the stretch with the one loss being Duke, we're at 19-12, 13-7 in ACC, and I do believe that would be enough to be on the bubble too. Need some help there also, and likely still 2 ACCT wins.

Nevermind.

 

[Cusefan0307]

Sucks. Gerry and I have the same barber and he said yesterday that he thought Cole catching fire would bring us home at the end of the season and was all pumped up after the winning streak. Apparently Cole has been as equally on fire at practice. Must be he had zero idea about Jesse’s injury at the time.

 

[blust2i3d4]

This VT game is close to a much win if they have any shot...

Indeed, a much needed win.

 

[Orangefan1]

I’m kind of annoyed with peoples predictions…Frank isn’t a scrub he can play and now that he has the freedom to play a lot of minutes he might be better defensively than Edwards possibly. I’m also interested in seeing Ajok at center to see how he does. We can still beat all of the teams left on this schedule it’s not like the ACC is a lights out league

 

[OrangeDW]

I’m kind of annoyed with peoples predictions…Frank isn’t a scrub he can play and now that he has the freedom to play a lot of minutes he might be better defensively than Edwards possibly. I’m also interested in seeing Ajok at center to see how he does. We can still beat all of the teams left on this schedule it’s not like the ACC is a lights out league

I like Frank, but Edwards is our best player.

And I’m not intrigued to see Ajak…unless we’re getting hammered and he puts up some 3’s.

 

[OrangeDW]

Would’ve nailed it if Jesse didn’t get hurt, IMO.

4 out of 5 is fine for this team though. I want 2 of the last 4.

 

[UpstateSM]

If we have anything left in the tank we will beat Notre Dame. They stink and we will get plenty of open looks. One of Joe or Buddy will shoot better.

Double bye still in play down the stretch if we do.

 

[djcon57]

If we have anything left in the tank we will beat Notre Dame. They stink and we will get plenty of open looks. One of Joe or Buddy will shoot better.

Double bye still in play down the stretch if we do.

Desperately need Josh Gemstone to get his squad back up in 2 days and beat Va Tech