KevMonstah
Scout Team
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2011
- Messages
- 407
- Like
- 556
I want to take a look ahead to next year's team. I see a coaching
challenge for JB, simply because I think they put together a team that
isn’t going to play zone D as well as this year, and it doesn’t seem to
improve on the weaknesses of this year.
First off, let’s stipulate that Fair is back, and that him and Grant
are the best two players on the team. Let’s also predict that Obokoh
and Johnson will not see the court much, and that it’s very likely Roberson
and/or Patterson are doomed to the same fate. I think that is the case
because you have too many swingmen-type players: Fair, Grant, Gbinije,
Roberson, and Johnson are all in that 6’7-8" range. I also think that
with four guys in the 6’9" range, one is out. The guard rotation maybe
will start with the four guys (Ennis, Cooney, Gbinije, and Patterson),
but Patterson’s time with decrease. I think you get an 8 man rotation,
which is Fair/Grant/Coleman at forward, Keita/Xmas at C, and
Cooney/Ennis/Gbinije at guard. He might use a ninth, and that will
certainly be Roberson or Patterson, depending on the moment.
Even with all that said, I don't see how JB can get away with playing
only one of the big guys at a time, with two of Fair, Grant, and Roberson.
That is not going to work. Rakeem and Dajuan will complain about PT;
Keita won’t, but you can’t cut his time. So you’re already working with
the negative of how to balance a lineup that consists of Fair and two bigs,
Grant and two bigs, or Fair and Grant plus one big (regardless of who
it is). I don’t see an upgrade in outside shooting unless Cooney improves
a *LOT* and Gbinije can hit from deep. You lose the two PG lineup you had
with MCW and Brandon, because I don’t think Cooney, Patterson, and Gbinije
are great ballhandlers. Defensively, you cannot play Coleman at the center
spot. He’s not mobile enough to step up to the FT line and stop the
midrange jumper, and as Detroit showed (granted, with the best dunker in
college hoops), you can alley oop over him all game long, cuz he can’t leap
to stop it. If he plays the wing, anybody with a decent handle will go
past him, and with a decent shot will get it off over him, because he’s not
quick. With one big playing, the potential is to get beat on the boards
again, but, as Grant is a superior rebounder than Southerland, this might
not occur.
Now before anyone says I'm totally negative on the team, here's what I
think they have going for them. They should have a true low post threat
and a solid rebounder in Coleman, a ton of athletic swingmen, two guys who
should block lots of shots, a shooter who should be better in Cooney, a very
skilled incoming PG, two stars in Fair and Grant, along with a guy who is
a Pitt guard in Patterson. Gbinije was highly rated as a high school
senior. That team will win a lot of games. 320 D-1 schools would love to
have that lineup and those concerns I just see a team like this year that
can't put out a lineup that has no weaknesses. Two years ago, JB had that,
which is why they went 34-3. This year's team couldn't, but it was almost
good enough. I see next year's team as having a talented lineup, and
being very good. Are they good enough? We'll find out. Ideally I'd like
to see JB put a little (lot) more emphasis on a low post game on offense,
run ten guys in and out, and own people with athleticism. I think they might
have to sacrifice a bit on the defensive end with Coleman to get more out of
the offense.
Four days after the end of the year, and already set for next season. Too bad
McCulloch didn't make it into this class, but I'd only want that if Fair leaves.
Kev
challenge for JB, simply because I think they put together a team that
isn’t going to play zone D as well as this year, and it doesn’t seem to
improve on the weaknesses of this year.
First off, let’s stipulate that Fair is back, and that him and Grant
are the best two players on the team. Let’s also predict that Obokoh
and Johnson will not see the court much, and that it’s very likely Roberson
and/or Patterson are doomed to the same fate. I think that is the case
because you have too many swingmen-type players: Fair, Grant, Gbinije,
Roberson, and Johnson are all in that 6’7-8" range. I also think that
with four guys in the 6’9" range, one is out. The guard rotation maybe
will start with the four guys (Ennis, Cooney, Gbinije, and Patterson),
but Patterson’s time with decrease. I think you get an 8 man rotation,
which is Fair/Grant/Coleman at forward, Keita/Xmas at C, and
Cooney/Ennis/Gbinije at guard. He might use a ninth, and that will
certainly be Roberson or Patterson, depending on the moment.
Even with all that said, I don't see how JB can get away with playing
only one of the big guys at a time, with two of Fair, Grant, and Roberson.
That is not going to work. Rakeem and Dajuan will complain about PT;
Keita won’t, but you can’t cut his time. So you’re already working with
the negative of how to balance a lineup that consists of Fair and two bigs,
Grant and two bigs, or Fair and Grant plus one big (regardless of who
it is). I don’t see an upgrade in outside shooting unless Cooney improves
a *LOT* and Gbinije can hit from deep. You lose the two PG lineup you had
with MCW and Brandon, because I don’t think Cooney, Patterson, and Gbinije
are great ballhandlers. Defensively, you cannot play Coleman at the center
spot. He’s not mobile enough to step up to the FT line and stop the
midrange jumper, and as Detroit showed (granted, with the best dunker in
college hoops), you can alley oop over him all game long, cuz he can’t leap
to stop it. If he plays the wing, anybody with a decent handle will go
past him, and with a decent shot will get it off over him, because he’s not
quick. With one big playing, the potential is to get beat on the boards
again, but, as Grant is a superior rebounder than Southerland, this might
not occur.
Now before anyone says I'm totally negative on the team, here's what I
think they have going for them. They should have a true low post threat
and a solid rebounder in Coleman, a ton of athletic swingmen, two guys who
should block lots of shots, a shooter who should be better in Cooney, a very
skilled incoming PG, two stars in Fair and Grant, along with a guy who is
a Pitt guard in Patterson. Gbinije was highly rated as a high school
senior. That team will win a lot of games. 320 D-1 schools would love to
have that lineup and those concerns I just see a team like this year that
can't put out a lineup that has no weaknesses. Two years ago, JB had that,
which is why they went 34-3. This year's team couldn't, but it was almost
good enough. I see next year's team as having a talented lineup, and
being very good. Are they good enough? We'll find out. Ideally I'd like
to see JB put a little (lot) more emphasis on a low post game on offense,
run ten guys in and out, and own people with athleticism. I think they might
have to sacrifice a bit on the defensive end with Coleman to get more out of
the offense.
Four days after the end of the year, and already set for next season. Too bad
McCulloch didn't make it into this class, but I'd only want that if Fair leaves.
Kev