Here are the updated standings as we head into the final day of competition for the highly coveted "JNCuse Ryder Cup 12 Questions Trophy". It looks like it will come down to Upper Deck and Clayman ... see the scenarios below.
Rows in Blue on the table are Locked in and can't change. There are a number of potential scenarios heading into the final day. But let's assume that USA will win the Ryder Cup given that it is a high certainty.
Let's start with who is eliminated assuming USA Wins the Cup:
Clifton, even at 28, has no scenario to win. Clayman is guaranteed to finish ahead of him in any scearnio.
Kirbivore and SuTomcat has no path to victory
JN, I havea very long shot scenario to win with 33 points. I assess my odds at about 1 in a million. I need all of the following to happen
- Schauffele to win his match
- Dustin Johnson to lose or tie his match
- Patrick Reed to troll in victory.
- Daniel Berger and Tony Finau do not score the clinching point
- Jon Rahm to lose his match
- Sergio Garcia to win his match
So who remains in realistic contention assuming USA wins the Cup - Upper Deck and Clayman
Clayman in probably in best shape. He loses if Daniel Berger scores the cliching point. If someone else other than Berger scores the clincher, he would lose in the following scenario IF Patrick Reed does not troll:
- Garcia Wins
- Rahm Loses
Upper Deck wins if Daniel Berger scores the clinching point.
He also wins if Rahm loses and Garcia wins, Patrick Reed does not troll, and Tony Finau does not score the clinching point
690 West can only win if Tony Finau scores the clinching point. However he would need all of the following to happen as well:
- Patrick Reed does not troll.
- Jon Rahm loses
- Sergio Garcia wins