The Bills playoff game was the pilot for NYS for starting to allow crowds to attend sporting events again and as far as I can tell, it was a success. That was a big step forward on this front.
Yes, SU was close to opening the dome to limited crowds (students and staff only) all the way back towards the end of the football season. A big spike in COVID cases on campus ended those plans.
It looks like SU might finally implement that plan next month.
Onondaga County Executive Ryan McMahon said Thursday he's supportive of a plan that would bring students back into the Carrier Dome.
www.syracuse.com
At one point, I was reading articles where experts were confident most of the country would have the vaccine by the end of the summer. I think that has changed. Distribution of the vacccine has gone slower than expected. And there is still the vexing problem that about 50% of the country apparently still has major misgivings about getting the vaccine.
There seems to be fairly strong agreement in the scientific field that herd immunity is real and can be achieved when somewhere in the range of 70-80% of the population has had COVID or been vaccinated against it.
I am guessing full or close to full crowds will be permitted when a region reaches herd immunity. If I had to guess, I would think NYS will not be at 75% by the start of football season. The state should be close enough to allow some crowds at games. My WAG right now is they will allow 25-50% capacity for football games. Probably going to need prove of vaccination, prove of immunity because of infection and there will probably be temp checks at the gate and masks will be mandatory if not eating or drinking. All just guesses though.
So I agree that there should be some fan presence for the football season. Definitely expect to see the students and staff (the people already in the university bubble). I think some season ticket holders with a lot of points will get in too. The biggest concerns that might stop this are 1) mutant strains of the virus that are more lethal or more infectious (this already appears to be happening) and 2) continued refusal of a significant portion of the population to be vaccinated. Pretty sure both are going to be issues prevent a return to a somewhat normal life.
I am more concerned about 2) then 1).