Kodai Senga
www.nj.com
Megill pitched well down the stretch. 2.55 ERA in his last 6 starts is impressive. After he was called back up from Syracuse, he threw markedly harder. Hit 98 MPH a bunch of times in his last start and did so in other September starts as well. He has the stuff to be a fine starter in MLB. He ended the year 9-8 with a 4.70 ERA overall.
Peterson also improved after getting sent down and coming back. He wasn't as effective as Tylor but his ERA was 3.57 the last 28 days of the year. I think he might have had some arm trouble late because he wasn't throwing more than 90 or 91 mph with his fastball but he pitched through it and I think significant progress was made down the stretch.
Jose Butto also finished the year in the rotation and ended it with a 3.64 ERA. Hitters only hit .212 against him. He has a nice fastball, a good slider and a really good changeup. Like him a lot.
Decisions need to be made on all three. All could benefit from the new pitching lab the Mets have set up. Stearns was an early pioneer in this area and I am hopeful 2 or 3 of the starting pitchers can come from these guys. It would save a lot of money for other areas if these guys can really step up.
Senga did step up and was one of the most dominant pitchers in MLB as a rookie. Finished the year 12-7 with a 2.98 ERA and a 4.5 WAR.
He ended the year 2nd in the NL in ERA, 3rd in hits/inning and 3rd in pitcher WAR. He won't win the Cy Young but he will get some votes. I think he has a chance to be Rookie of the Year, which I don't agree with but the rules are the rules.
Add in Jose Quintana, whose ERA was 3.57 once he finally started pitching, and the starting rotation looks a lot better today than it did a couple of months ago.
Still need to add a couple proven starters (I think you need at least 7 to start with). But then we have Mike Vasil, who pitched in AA and
AAA in 2023.
Vasil was hard to hit this year. .225 BA against him in AA and AAA. He had problems with control some games and was inconsistent but his spin rates are elite and he could be very good in a year. Maybe less.
Dom Hamel, Blade Tidwell, Christian Scott and Tyler Stuart all did well in A and AA in 2023 and are MLB prospects. We are finally going to see a bunch of MLB level prospects pitching in Syracuse next summer.
So I think the play is to sign an experienced starter or two that is willing to take a one year contract and turn things over to the kids after that.
We don't have the same level of relief pitches close to being ready for MLB yet and a couple of these young starters will probably get converted to relievers sometime next year.
If the 'baby Mets' can hit in MLB like they have in the minors, combined with the core guys in their prime already on the roster, and this could be a very good team next year. And there are some really nice looking position players coming soon that we will see play some in Syracuse in 2024.
Add in the return of Diaz and I think things are looking better for next year than what we did this season.