I would be surprised if we turned down the Holiday.
Would guess our preference is
Pop Tart
Gator
Holiday
Dukes Mayo
I think in the end, the key factor determining our bowl destination will be the number of playoff bids the ACC gets. It means a lot more than whether we win against Miami or not.
If the ACC gets 2 in the playoffs, I think we get a warm weather bowl. And probably one in Florida. If the ACC gets 3, I can't see how we do not get get a Florida bowl.
Duke continues to win and only needs a win against Wake to get to 9 wins. If they do that and we lose to Miami, they might get a slot over us.
But they are a small school with a small fan base (for football) and have a really bad reputation for traveling that is going to hurt them here.