I think you might be focusing on the wrong question. A better question might be: could Hodgson beat the Duke, UNC, Virginia, Louisville teams once he's implemented his system, and gotten system fits, as a long-term program transformation.
Not worried so much about performance being optimized in year 1. But the footprint needs to be in place, to set the table for future sucess.
Faith without evidence is unnecessary here -- because he's shown his ability to elevate teams not once, but twice, in short order.