OttoMets
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Speculation is that the seating will be reduced from about 49.5K to about 44.5K.
That is right about 10% on the nose.
I haven't seen any specifics discussed but I think the seat widths are 18 inches now.
If we are talking about a 10% decrease in capacity, we are taking about close to a 10% increase in seat widths. They will surely do even numbers so I am guessing the new seats will be 20 inches in width. That would be a 10% increase on the nose.
Just speculation. No inside info.
If this happened, the maximum capacity for basketball would go from around 35K to around 31.5K. Now that assumes all the seating areas sold before the center hung scoreboard was in place will still be sold. I do not think this is the case. That scoreboard appears to block the view for some of the seats in the far end zone corners down low.
We might get as low as 30K for basketball with new seating in place.
I would think practical basketball capacity would drop a lot more.
If you're sitting on an aluminum bench in 321 or 335, it's not much trouble for everyone to rotate their hips and turn their heads toward the court and pretend they're long-range view seats. Same goes for 320 and 336 and most of what's east of midfield.
But if everyone's got armrests and is generally oriented straight ahead, those really aren't basketball-compatible seats anymore. They'll sell them, but it'll be a more uncomfortable experience and I imagine less popular.
On the other hand, having real seats in the basketball portion of the building should go over well with the NCAA site selection people, who didn't care for the benches.