look man you're one of the top posters on here and I always value your input and contributions. but I really think you're looking at next year WAY too negatively. I'd say that, basically, you're looking at each "if" possibility with a worst-case-scenario lens:
If Frank Howard develops more of an offensive game...
If Matt Moyer is a solid freshman contributor...
If Tyler Roberson continues his upward trajectory...
If Tyler Lydon picks up where he left off, playing his natural position, while also developing a semblance of a handle...
If Tyus Battle contributes as least as much as Richardson did...
If Chukwu is a defensive negator in the lane...
If Gillon is a legitimate offensive threat and is satisfactory on defense...
Now, that's just 7 items off the top of my head. None of them are in any way far-fetched or difficult to imagine. I'd say that if 5 or more of those "Ifs" come to fruition we'll be a very good team that finishes top-5 in the ACC. Of course, if 4 or more of them don't happen (which is what you're apparently going with) - then, yes, it will be a disappointing season. To me, though, there's every indication that my scenario is more likely than yours - which is why I'm as bullish as I am.