In regards to your 1st paragraph, I realize this and why I stated along the lines of not being abreast of those other particulars of the other teams we are competing with to get in.
On your second paragraph, why wasn't it apparent 8 days ago? Now, I'll concede to beating UVA at their place was somewhat unexpected, especially since they've had their way with us for the most part since we've been in the ACC. That being said, they are a probable bubble team as it stands today, so, although it was an unlikely W, it wasn't improbable. Additionally, most of us I think would agree that the W against BC was probable, we were a 12 point favorite in that game. The VT game I think most would agree that we felt our chances were about 50/50, especially since it could be argued that we should've beat them in the Dome just a week and half earlier.
All of these aforementioned teams are probable bubble teams. So, I don't know how much more apparent it's today than 8 days ago, as it's not as if we just made it through a murderous row (for lack of a better word) with these 3 W's.