Judah Mintz to test NBA Draft waters | Page 85 | Syracusefan.com

Judah Mintz to test NBA Draft waters

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Unfortunately, getting your honorary plumbing license is only one part of college. There's another part of it and it's not for everyone.
Professional pipe laying is much better with choices of multiple pipes simultaneously fitted in multiple cities, college town pipe fitting can be limited somewhat then you still have to make it to Sociology 101 at 7:45am after the first pipe.
 
Professional pipe laying is much better with choices of multiple pipes simultaneously fitted in multiple cities, college town pipe fitting can be limited somewhat then you still have to make it to Sociology 101 at 7:45am after the first pipe.
Mario Bros. is a fun game, but it doesn’t hold a candle to Super Mario Bros.
 
anyone actually do an analysis of career-success-by-draft-pick (i.e. number of years, games/year, career stats, earnings, etc.)?

Basketball Reference has the data.. I'm just too lazy or dumb to do something with it (see: my failed normal curve for age of predicted picks):

 
I think we all know that guys that drafted top 10, lottery, or even simply first round generally pan out more than a second round.

I think the issue is we are assuming Judah may go undrafted this year but be a first rounder next year. I wouldn’t say that’s actually very likely. If teams think that little of him now that the 55th spot is accurate for this year, there’s probably about as good a chance that waiting another year just leads him to being undrafted (which could arguably be better than being the 55th pick because he can then select where he signs but still).

Point is guys generally have to improve a ton to go from being potentially undrafted to being a first round pick. Maybe Judah will improve a ton but it's probably more likely that he only shows modest improvements, in which case he may not improve his draft stock at all and would have simply missed out on a year of development.

The history of freshmen going through the draft process, returning to school, and improving their draft stock is spotty at best. I pulled the numbers a few weeks back and I believe it happens less than half the time.

TLDR: Mintz will have to beat the odds no matter what he decides to do. Just changes which odds he’s trying to beat.
 
Granted Judah is a different prospect but the guys that have stayed an extra year as of late didn’t really benefit (Tyus, Fair). Can’t blame Judah if he stays in and pursues his dream. He’ll definitely get drafted.
 
Honestly, I'm leaning more like 30/70. Don't think it's likely for even a late 2nd round pick. Who knows if coming back for a year guarantees a 1st-round next draft, but, you only get one chance to hear your name get called; would be unfortunate to miss out on an experience like that.
 
Professional pipe laying is much better with choices of multiple pipes simultaneously fitted in multiple cities, college town pipe fitting can be limited somewhat then you still have to make it to Sociology 101 at 7:45am after the first pipe.
But there's plenty of 20 year old projects where you can lay pipe in Cuse that don't cost a thing. The projects in Miami would cause a normal man to go bankrupt
 
Yeah especially when you add in the International flyers teams take.
those fill the second round, looking at the past 20 drafts.
Teams aren't going to take a flier on Judah second round. They'll sign him as a UFA.
 
Willy Wonka Suspense GIF
 
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