The Annual Bubble Discussion Thread - 2021 Version

[Orangefan1]

Cincy is really terrible lol

 

[pearl31]

If Houston wins two games it’s one bid out of this league !! Now worst case scenario now this league get two bids which is what minimum would happen if Wichita State won this game!

how much more simple can it be

Nah.
Very conceivable now with Cnci winning that AAC could get 4 teams in:
Many had/have Wichita in regardless
Cinci gets auto bid if they win tmrw
Memphis possibly in if they beat Houston today
Houston in regardless

 

[jdubs30]

Hard to imagine Wichita getting a bid ... so similar to all the MWC teams

 

[jdubs30]

Nah.
Very conceivable now with Cnci winning that AAC could get 4 teams in:
Many had/have Wichita in regardless
Cinci gets auto bid if they win tmrw
Memphis possibly in if they beat Houston today
Houston in regardless

Or if Houston wins the title they’d get a max of 2.

 

[kcsu]

Houston needs to take care of business.

 

[ORRange]

Nah.
Very conceivable now with Cnci winning that AAC could get 4 teams in:
Many had/have Wichita in regardless
Cinci gets auto bid if they win tmrw
Memphis possibly in if they beat Houston today
Houston in regardless

Houston better win today

 

[brian williams]

Dallin Cuff putting Wichita State above us because they are 2-3 in Quad 1

 

[Cusesky8214]

Seems like everyone is all over the place on this one...meaning I don't feel good about any of the outcomes except Houston winning it all.

 

[upperdeck]

I heard on ESPN radio that teams are being notified to fly into Indy ASAP, to get quarantined and into the bubble. Wonder if that has only been for AQs. Have to think there would be leaks otherwise...

they said today any team that has a chance to get in was being told to trip there just in case

 

[oTTo113445]

Some of these teams are like 4-2 vs. T1+2 and they still have 8 losses. We are 6-8 with 9. And that's with them playing teams ranked 50-75. It's just really hard to gauge.
Carolina sitting at 32 when you need to be 30 (even a half point towards tier 1) Imagine having 3 wins against 76.

Would like to see Something like 5 points 1-30 4 points 31-60 3 points 61-90 2 points 91-120. Same with loses points. 1-40=-1 41-50 1.5 51-90=-2 91-100 -2.5 100-130 -3
In the end the goal is not to play an extra game (especially if your banged up), but that can also hurt the underdogs who get 2-6 seed upsets.

 

[Ozzie0075]

 

[Chris02M]

Dallin Cuff putting Wichita State above us because they are 2-3 in Quad 1

someone tell him louisville only has 1 quad 1 win as well

 

[nycfan]

they said today any team that has a chance to get in was being told to trip there just in case

Sooo, what is the criteria (or definition) of "a chance". Are they supposed to consult Lunardi's "next 4 out"..... This doesn't sound practical.

 

[20plus]

Nah.
Very conceivable now with Cnci winning that AAC could get 4 teams in:
Many had/have Wichita in regardless
Cinci gets auto bid if they win tmrw
Memphis possibly in if they beat Houston today
Houston in regardless

if Memphis wins today and loses to Cincinnati they’re not going to pass Syracuse and now Wichita State can not pass Syracuse and obviously Cincinnati can’t pass Syracuse

 

[20plus]

Cincinnati’s résumé is not better than Wichita State would’ve been if they won today. And that’s all that matters. And about the Memphis win you’re definitely better having Wichita lose and maybe get out that if Memphis beats Houston were then you could get 3 a lot easier.

if Houston wins two and they get one bid it definitely saved at least one bid

 

[Chris02M]

on my list on ncaa teams i have 40 teams that are locks with 7 to 10 autbids among them

 

[hoopsupstate]

Wichita State is not getting in. Lunardi said if they beat Cindy today they would be on the edge. The loss pretty much knocks them out.

 

[nycfan]

if Memphis wins today and loses to Cincinnati they’re not going to pass Syracuse and now Wichita State can not pass Syracuse and obviously Cincinnati can’t pass Syracuse

After the Cincy game, the 3 studio guys discussed Wichita State vs Syracuse. The dude that looks like Stephon Curry (Cuff) says Wichita State should be ahead of Syracuse because 2-3 Quad 1 is much better than 1-7. Cuff mentioned the lack of Q1 home games argument is not that strong-- says the main reason there were fewer Q1 opportunities is that Duke and UNC were down relative to other (stronger) years for the conference. So don't shoot the messenger -- just relaying the comments. But there could be others that think like him. Thus, it is critical that Georgetown, Cincy, and Oregon State don't all win, or we could be in some trouble at this time tomorrow (at the very least, we will all be sweating our arses off). As Frozen posted earlier (and I saw the link again on Twitter this afternoon), SI has us first team out right now (even before the bid stealer games are even played).

 

[Chris02M]

Wichita State is not getting in. Lunardi said if they beat Cindy today they would be on the edge. The loss pretty much knocks them out.

he said if they lost they would fall to 3rd to last team in

 

[Ozzie0075]

Lunardi 5:45 PM update...

 

[orangenauburn]

After the Cincy game, the 3 studio guys discussed Wichita State vs Syracuse. The dude that looks like Stephon Curry (Cuff) says Wichita State should be ahead of Syracuse because 2-3 Quad 1 is much better than 1-7. Cuff mentioned the lack of Q1 home games argument is not that strong-- says the main reason there were fewer Q1 opportunities is that Duke and UNC were down relative to other (stronger) years for the conference. So don't shoot the messenger -- just relaying the comments. But there could be others that think like him. Thus, it is critical that Georgetown, Cincy, and Oregon State don't all win, or we could be in some trouble at this time tomorrow (at the very least, we will all be sweating our arses off). As Frozen posted earlier (and I saw the link again on Twitter this afternoon), SI has us first team out right now (even before the bid stealer games are even played).

And 6-1 is better than 2-1 in q2

And 7-8 in q1/2 wins vs 4-4 means Syracuse played a tougher schedule

 

[rrlbees]

Sooo, what is the criteria (or definition) of "a chance". Are they supposed to consult Lunardi's "next 4 out"... This doesn't sound practical.

what I heard the committee guy who was interviewed say was that they were flying in teams as they win their auto bids. Teams flew in today that won already and tomorrow teams that win auto bids today. Not sure I heard him mention at large teams just the auto bids.

 

[Tom W.]

And 6-1 is better than 2-1 in q2

And 7-8 in q1/2 wins vs 4-4 means Syracuse played a tougher schedule

I also keep going back to two top-100 wins (Wichita) vs nine top-100 wins (Cuse).

 

[walsh2012]

Dallin Cuff putting Wichita State above us because they are 2-3 in Quad 1

Dallin Cuff is a moron who is somehow both bad at hosting studio shows and being a commentator on them

 

[A Clockwork Orange]

I also keep going back to two top-100 wins (Wichita) vs nine top-100 wins (Cuse).

I know it's not a metric, but the committee usually values regular-season champions very highly. One reason why I think Wichita State will be in.