Let's evaluate the scenarios.
Scenario 3
Scholarships are a one year deal. We don't have to offer someone on the current roster a scholarship for next year if we don't want to. But who wouldn't we offer a scholarship to? Chinoso is still young, but talent wise he is probably the lowest on the totem pole (he's our 4th string center, and could be our 5th string center behind Diagne, Bryant, McCullough, and Coleman next year). But as mentioned, Chinoso was high school teammates with Bryant, which is part of the reason we brought Chinoso in. So if not Chinoso, who do we not offer a scholarship to? Ron Patterson? He's shown great energy yet again, but his jumper has been atrocious this year and he'd be stuck behind Joseph, Cooney, Richardson, Howard, and Gbinije. He has been valuable this year in late game situations bringing the ball up since Boeheim seems not to trust Joseph yet, but hopefully by next year Joseph will have a better handle. But let's say it's not Patterson or Chinoso, it is possible Coleman could be on the chopping block. He hasn't contributed much due to his health problems and could be in jeopardy of losing his scholarship. He flashed signs of potential when he did play, but not only does he have to work his way back to the caliber of talent that he showed us early in his career, but he also needs to prove that he can exceed that as a junior and senior which is questionable to say the least. After that, BJ Johnson would probably be fourth on the list, but he could develop into a much needed 3 point shooter with some solid athleticism, so I doubt Syracuse would let him go. So the only three options in this scenario would be for Syracuse to take away a scholarship from one of Chinoso/Buss/Coleman in my opinion. It's possible I guess that one of these three could "walk-on" to the team, but I don't know how I would feel about playing for a team that took away my scholarship.