Yup. I'm trying to eliminate everything that's rumor or speculation behind the scenes. Just looking at things that occur on the court and are said publicly, here are some factors that I can't get over.
The transition defense was a joke last year. I figured that it might get better this year without Mintz constantly gambling for steals in the backcourt. I was wrong. Even with Chris Bell getting less minutes this year, the transition D is abominable. This is a huge indicator that the coaches can't get the players to buy in.
Autry spent last year talking about how he wants to play fast and put pressure on the opposition, and then made Lampkin his first priority in the portal last offseason. That never made sense.
The offense Autry is running this year does not fit the talent level of the team. There are a few major opponents where Lampkin or Starling might have a mismatch, but nobody is good enough to force double teams or take over games consistently.
Then on a micro level, the closing minutes of the game at Notre Dame were another huge indicator that something is off. ND got two wide open threes for Shrewsbury off simple actions. Then, on a crucial possession in the closing minute for Syracuse when we needed bucket, preferably quickly, we ended up with Lucas Taylor taking a prayer of a runner as the shot clock expired, and we had TOs to burn.