HRE Otto IV
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The schools you mention will not fare better in the B1G than in the Pac12. Perhaps if they jump to the Big12 they may fare better. In the B1G they will be a middle of the pack at best. The Pac12 has been largely overinflated by perception of many wins but they were paper tigers by and large as of late.
Regardless, I don't think ESPN is going to give up the ACC properties because the will lose northeast exposure in football and hoops, because the ACC generates revenue and profit, because holding the ACC essentially keeps the B1G out of the southeast, and because the ACC compliments the SEC with a long history between the core (read historical ACC and SEC) teams. Unless the ACC falls flat, I think ESPN pays the ACC, close enough to be content but not quite SEC and B1G levels.
ESPN has incentive to keep the ACC #3 by a decent margin. Overall they are underpaying. In 10 years (5 is just silly), I could see Miami bolting for the B16. And maybe FSU/Clemson to the SEC. At that point ESPN should want to keep the ACC TV payout as is. Yes that will be slightly overpaying, but the alternative is losing UNC, UVA, GA Tech, Notre Dame to the B16/FOX.
As long as UNC can compete in BBall, they have no reason to leave.