If they go entire body of work we should be a 3 (with still a chance at a 4)... there are still a few teams that could push there way up moving us down. Or move the other way. Every team on the 3/4 line is still alive as of now.
Let's look at the 3 and 4 before today per the bracket matrix
3
Duke
Virginia
Creighton
Iowa St
4
Louisville
SD St
Cincy
Michigan St
One of the 3's moves up to the 2 line to replace us. Other than Duke/Virginia, our resume can compete against any of those teams. It could go either way in some cases.
Remember Louisville looks great, but the resume has not been helped this week. Beating Houston/Rutgers in the AAC does nothing to help them this week.
San Diego St needs to beat New Mexico otherwise they can't move up.
Cincy looks like it may lose to UConn tonight.
Michigan St is playing Northwestern tonight... let's see if they can get a big win in the B10.
Remember comments like "WE SUCK BALLS" is not a metric the Committee looks at.