Tracking the Bracket Matrix throughout the Regular Season | Page 5 | Syracusefan.com

Tracking the Bracket Matrix throughout the Regular Season

jncuse said:
Some have raised this before, but the total Quad 1 wins # is a concern. What is really interesting is the lack of top quality opponents we have faced this year. Only Boise St and Western kentucy have played less. We have a pretty empty resume.. sort of like Wake Forest last year,

Texas 5-7
Providence 6-5
Alabama 6-3
Houston 3-2
Arkansas 3-6
Louisville 2-6
USC 2-6
Washington 5-3
NC St 4-7
UCLA 2-4
Kansas St 4-6
Virginia Tech 4-5
------
Boise St 0-3
Syracuse 1-4
Marquette 3-9
Ole Miss 1-6
Temple 4-5
St Bonaventure 3-2
Nebraska 0-6
Western Kentucky 1-2
Maryland 1-8
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We have quite a few coming up though so our opportunists are ahead of us.
 
jncuse said:
View attachment 122211

This doesn't help. They can't afford any more slip ups the next 5 games if there is any change for them to be top 30 enetering tourney selection week.

View attachment 122212
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Yup - with this we lost a Q1 win. After last nights games:

Q1 wins = 1
Q2 wins = 5
Q3 wins = 5
Q4 wins = 5

Q1 losses = 4
Q2 losses = 3
Q3 losses = 1
Q4 losses = 0
 
BC may be an interesting team to watch. On Warren Nolan, they're currently 81 in RPI, they may have a chance to sneak into the top 75 and give us a chance at a quad 1 win (would also give us a quad 2 win, since we already beat them at home)
 
raf4488 said:
Stephen Thompson Jr. just hit a 3 at the buzzer for Oregon State to beat Mike Hopkins' Washington team. You can't get more Syracuse than that
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And it came in double overtime -- just a fantastic basketball game. Washington was up 13 with about 8 minutes left, and the game appeared over. After a great comeback Oregon State looked like they were going to win in the 1st overtime before back to back terrible calls got Washington back in the game, and then Stevie Jr. missed a pair of free throws with 3 seconds left (where just one would have been enough). So some very nice redemption--and I'll tell you, Jr. is the splitting image of his Dad! (just with a bigger fro...)
 
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27657931_10155247314351367_4120957739576803041_n.jpg


Top 4 seeds in each region as it stands today.
 
jncuse said:
Were these 16 team rankings done before yesterday and just announced today. Looks like they made no effort to adjust things for yesterday... Kansas and Oklahoma lost, Michigan St win.
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Wouldnt be surprised if they were, they are essentially meaningless.
 
Knicks411 said:
Wouldnt be surprised if they were, they are essentially meaningless.
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I love how cbs brought in brad brownell for his opinion on being a 3 seed a month before selection Sunday.. Seriously cbs.
 
As everything stands now, we have 6 games left, 4 of which are Quad 1 games and 3 games vs. teams in the 10 RPI.

If we don't get in we have no one to blame but ourselves. Plenty of opportunities to get the wins we need to strengthen our resume.
 
We need to win 3 of last 6. Going to be hard to do. Even BC is tough at home this year beating upper echelon teams.
 
Final Tally for the Weekend

Bubble Team went 13-10. However, the 13 wins lacked in quality
2 - Quad 1 (Virginia Tech, Alabama)
1 - Quad 2 (Missouri)
10 - Quad 3 + Quad 4

Of the 10 Losses,
2 - Quad 3 (Boise St, Washington)
1 - Quad 4 (Depaul)

Overall if you your Q1+Q2 wins = Q3+Q4 losses, that is not a positive thing.

Teams Right around the bubble line) (last 6 in / first 4), went 2-8. Syracuse had one of the wins, but the difficulty was higher for most others. But Boise St and Washington loss to porous teams.

Conclusion - Good for us. We still need wins.

By Ranking

Sat 2:00: 14th last team in Missouri (-5.5) vs Miss St. (Quad Two) - WIN
Sat 2:00: 12th last team in Texas (+5.5) at TCU (Quad One) - LOSS
Sat 4:00: 11th last team in Providence (-9.0) vs Depaul (Quad Four) VERY BAD LOSS
Sat 6:00: 10th last team in Alabama (+2.5) vs Tennessee (Quad One) QUALITY WIN
Sat 8:30: 9th last team in Arkansas (-7) vs Vanderbilt (Quad Three) WIN
Sun 6:00: 8th Last Team in Houston vs Tulane (Quad Three) WIN
Sun 1:00: 7th Last Team in Louisville at Pitt (Quad Three) WIN
Sat 10:15: 6th Last Team in USC (+5.5) at Arizona (Quad One) LOSS
Sat 10:00: 5th Last Team in Washington (+4) at Oregon St (Quad Three) LOSS (Somewhat bad)
Sat 8:00: 4th last team in Kansas St (+1) vs Texas Tech (Quad One) LOSS
Sat 2:00: 3rd last team in NC St (+3.5) vs UNC (Quad One) - LOSS
Sat 7:00: 2nd last team in UCLA (+3.5) at Arizona St (Quad One) LOSS
Sat 6:15: Last team in Virginia Tech (+12) at Virginia (Quad One) HIGH QUALITY WIN
Sat 9:00: First Team out Boise St (-3.5) vs Utah St (Quad Three) LOSS (Somewhat Bad)
Sun 1:00: 2nd Team Out Syracuse vs Wake Forest (Quad Three) WIN
Sat 12:00: 3rd team out Marquette (+1.0) at St. John's (Quad One) (LOSS)
Sat 2:00: 4th team out Miss St (+5.5) at Missouri (Quad One) (LOSS)
Sat 12:00: 5th team out Temple at South Florida (Quad Four) (WIN)
Sat 4:00: 6th team out St. Bonaventure (-10.0) vs Richmond (Quad Four) (WIN)
Sat 7:00: 7th last team out Western Kentucky (-15.5) vs Florida International (WIN)
Sat 4:00: 8th team out Nebraska (-10.0) vs Rutgers (Quad Four) WIN
Sat 12:00: 10th team out Maryland (-4.5) vs Northwestern (Quad Three) (WIN)
Sat 4:00: 11th team out LSU (4.5) vs Ole Miss (Quad Three) WIN
 
Schedule for this week. For now I am going to go with 11 last in / 9 first out, (Struggling with finding the 12th last in that makes sense). I am predicting where the matrix would be after this weekend.

Games This Week (MON-THURS),

By Ranking

Arkansas - Tues at Ole Miss (Quad 3) (WIN)
Houston - Thurs vs Cincinnati (Quad 1)
Texas - Mon vs Baylor (Quad 2) (LOSS)
Virginia Tech - at Duke (Quad 1)
Louisville - No Game
Providence - Wed vs Villanova (Quad 1)
Kansas St - Wed at Oklahoma St (Quad 2)
USC - Thurs vs Oregon (Quad 3)
NC St - Wed at Syracuse (Quad 1)
Syracuse - Wed vs NC St (Quad 2)
UCLA - Thurs vs Oregon St (Quad 3)
--------------------
Washington - Thurs vs Utah (Quad 2)
Boise St - Wed vs Nevada (Quad 1)
Temple - Thurs at Wichita St (Quad 1)
St. Bonaventure - Tues at Lasalle (Quad 3) (WIN)
Marquette - No Game
Baylor - Mon at Texas (Quad 1) (WIN)
Oklahoma St - Wed vs Kansas St (Quad 2)
Western Kentucky - Thurs at North Texas (Quad 3)
Nebraska - Tues vs Maryland (Quad 2) (WIN)
Maryland - Tues at Nebraska (Quad 1) (LOSS)
 
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Games This Week (MON-THURS),

BY TIME

9th last in Texas - Mon vs 6th team out Baylor (Quad 2) (LOSS)
6th team out Baylor - Mon vs 9th team in Texas (Quad 1) (WIN)
11th last in Arkansas - Tues at Ole Miss (Quad 3) (WIN)
8th team out Nebraska - Tues vs Maryland (Quad 2) (WIN)
9th team out Maryland - Tues at Nebraska (Quad 1) (LOSS)
4th team out St. Bonaventure Tues at Lasalle (Quad 3) (WIN)
10th team out Oklahoma St - Wed vs Kansas St (Quad 2)
6th last in Virginia Tech - Wed at Duke (Quad 1)
7th last in Providence - Wed vs Villanova (Quad 1)
4th last in Kansas St - Wed at Oklahoma St (Quad 2)
First team out NC St - Wed at Syracuse (Quad 1)
2nd last in Syracuse - Wed vs NC St (Quad 2)
Second team out Boise St - Wed vs Nevada (Quad 1)
10th last in Houston - Thurs vs Cincinnati (Quad 1)
Last in USC - Thurs vs Oregon (Quad 3)
5th Last in UCLA - Thurs vs Oregon St (Quad 3)
3rd last in Washington - Thurs vs Utah (Quad 2)
3rd team out Temple - Thurs at Wichita St (Quad 1)
 
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What I am looking out for this week:

NC St at Syracuse - We need to win games, and this is a key one.

Nevada at Boise St - Boise St does not get many chances to get a Quad One win at home. They have a great record, but not much quality. It will really help us if they lose this.

Temple at Wichita St - They shouldn't win this, but if Temple does they could jump in.

Maryland vs Nebraska - See Next Post
 
NEBRASKA

They are currently 10-4 in the Big 10. They can quite conceivably go 14-4, as there remaining schedule is 3 home games against modest teams (Maryland, Indiana, and Penn St) and a road game against Illinois.

They would be 14-4 in the Big Ten, yet
0-6 in Quad 1.
4-2 in Quad 2
(So 4-8 in quality games ... not good)
Their marquee win would be beating 8/9 seed Michigan at home.
They only play Ohio St, Purdue, and Michigan St once... and they lost to each one.
Accomplished nothing out of conference.
RPI would be #44.

What does the committee do? I would love to see B10 country whine.
 
jncuse said:
NEBRASKA

They are currently 10-4 in the Big 10. They can quite conceivably go 14-4, as there remaining schedule is 3 home games against modest teams (Maryland, Indiana, and Penn St) and a road game against Illinois.

They would be 14-4 in the Big Ten, yet
0-6 in Quad 1.
4-2 in Quad 2
(So 4-8 in quality games ... not good)
Their marquee win would be beating 8/9 seed Michigan at home.
They only play Ohio St, Purdue, and Michigan St once... and they lost to each one.
Accomplished nothing out of conference.
RPI would be #44.

What does the committee do? I would love to see B10 country whine.
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yeah they could be the single most beguiling team for the committee this year

and Temple, too (for virtually opposite reasons)
 
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