If Tua's medicals check out, I don't think Herbert is remotely close. I think Herbert is a fringe 1st round talent; don't think his floor or ceiling are particularly high.
Maybe it's recency bias but in his last two games I had Oregon in the Rose Bowl and I took Utah when they played Oregon. Herbert impressed me with his toughness and athleticism and how his teammates responded to him. We know he has a big arm. We'll see how he does when he gets to the NFL but if he fell outside of the top 10 I'd be shocked.